Sneaky Fantasy Sleeper: Seahawks' Doug Baldwin
The Seahawks wide receiver is a risky play, but could pay dividends
By: Corby Yarbrough | 12/1/11, 3:27 AM EST
Oh, it is such a juicy matchup for the Seattle receivers against Philadelphia tonight. But which one can you trust to throw in your lineup.
It’s been tough to trust any Seahawk receiver this season as only seven double-digit performances have been produced in the first 12 weeks of the season and non since Week 8.
However, tonight the receiving corps gets an Eagles team that has been terrible against a team’s top receiver since coming out of their Week 7 bye.
Here’s a look at what they have allowed since Week 8.
Week 8: Laurent Robinson, Dallas — 8 targets, 5 catches, 103 yards and a score for 18.8 fantasy points.
Week 9: Earl Bennett, Chicago — 5 targets, 5 catches, 95 yards and a score for 18 fantasy points.
Week 10: Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona — 13 targets, 7 catches, 146 yards and two scores for 30.1 fantasy points.
Week 11: Victor Cruz, New York Giants — 10 targets, 6 catches, 128 yards and a score for 21.8 fantasy points.
Week 12: Wes Welker, New England — 12 targets, 8 catches, 115 yards and two scores for 27.5 fantasy points.
Week 12: Deion Branch, New England — 10 targets, 6 catches, 125 yards for 15.5 fantasy points.
So you know there is a flex option at receiver to be played there for Seattle, but which one do you go with?
Sidney Rice, who has three of the double-digit efforts for Seattle this season, is now on IR (concussion) and out for the year. Ben Obomanu steps into the starting role for Rice, and he has two of the last three double-digit games for the Seahawks (Weeks 5 and 8).
Doug Baldwin has the other two double-digit days for Seattle (Weeks 1 and 5).
Baldwin has 62 targets compared to 46 for Obomanu this season. Baldwin has 37 catches for 604 yards and two scores, while Obomanu has 28 catches for 295 yards and two scores.
Philly has been giving up to opposing teams’ No. 1s and 2s, so Obomanu could have success. Keep in mind, Tarvaris Jackson is still Seattle’s starting QB, and he has not eclipsed 13 points since Week 4 and has been under nine points three of those weeks.
However, if you’re looking for a deep flex play, with the Seahawks at home, facing a team coming cross-country on a short week that is allowing numbers at the WR spot like it has the last five, I think Baldwin could be good for a 10-12 spot. He’s already garnering the targets from Jackson, and the Eagles are surrendering 21.95 fantasy points per game to opposing team’s top targets.
By Corby A. Yarbrough @Corby_Yarbrough on Twitter
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