College Fantasy Football Start or Sit: Week 3
Athlon prepares the college fantasy player with in-depth match-up analysis for Week 3.
By: Braden Gall | 9/16/11, 7:45 AM EDT
Casey Pachall, TCU (UL-Monroe)
Replacing a legend is never easy, but despite the loss to Baylor, Pachall has made it look easy. He has six touchdown passes to only one interception with 56 yards rushing and another score on the ground. He has completed more than 70 percent of his passes and will be facing the 79th-rated pass efficiency defense thus far in 2011. Against FBS talent this fall, ULM has allowed 280 yards and three touchdowns. This is Pachall’s team now, and owners should have him in the line-up this week.
Tyler Hansen, Colorado (Colorado State)
Throwing for a single-game school record isn’t something that happens every day, but that is what Hansen did last week. His 474 yards are a Buffaloes record and the current single-game high of the 2011 season. He has thrown at least two TDs in each game thus far and accounted for three scores against Colorado State in last year’s opener. Start all of your Buffs.
Aaron Murray, Georgia (Coastal Carolina)
The Dawgs might have lost to South Carolina last week, but Murray is clearly the real deal under center. He threw four TDs and 248 yards against the Cocks last week and will look to expand on that line this week. Certainly, Mark Richt will establish the run behind star freshman Isaiah Crowell, but Murray should post excellent numbers against a far inferior opponent.
James Franklin, Missouri (Western Illinois)
There is still plenty to learn for Franklin, but the talent is obvious. In two career starts, he already has a 300-yard passing game, a 100-yard rushing game, completed 63.2 percent of his passes, has only one interception and has experienced a hostile road overtime atmosphere. Expect Gary Pinkel to get his Tigers back on track against lowly Western Illinois.
Ryan Tannehill, Texas A&M (Idaho)
The Aggies will welcome a chance to play actual football after constant expansion drama has engulfed College Station during the bye week. Tannehill and company has to be hungry to get back onto the field, and the poor Vandals will play the role of punching bag. Idaho allowed 478 yards of offense against Bowling Green in week one and should be no match – on either side of the ball – for the powerful TAMU attack.
Derek Carr, Fresno State (North Dakota)
Week Two was a huge learning experience for the sophomore slinger from The Valley. Against an elite-level defense in an incredibly stressful environment, Carr threw 254 yards and scored two touchdowns against Nebraska. The younger brother of former first overall pick David Carr has proven his mettle in only two starts against quality BCS competition. Against North Dakota, Carr’s full talent should flourish.
Bench These Quarterbacks:
Ryan Aplin, Arkansas State (at Virginia Tech)
The Hokies held Dom Davis and East Carolina's high-flying attack to 127 yards on 38 attempts last weekend. That should be all fantasy owners need to keep Aplin far away from the starting line-up. Bud Foster has his defense back where it belongs: Rated in the top ten nationally by allowing 202.5 yards per game through two weeks.
Tyler Bray, Tennessee (at Florida)
The Vols sophomore had all day to throw last week against Cincinnati, but fans can bet that the law firm of Powell, Floyd, Easley, Green and Howard won’t allow Bray to leave the Swamp untouched. The Gators have won six straight over Tennessee and have played excellent defense against weak opponents FAU and UAB. Florida has allowed a total of three points this season. Additionally, Bray has started seven total games in his brief career – none of which were outside of the state of Tennessee or against a true road crowd.
Kriss Proctor, Navy (at South Carolina)
Against Delaware, Proctor averaged eight yards per carry on 22 attempts. Against Western Kentucky, he ran 16 times at a 1.4 yards per carry clip. South Carolina will easily be the toughest defense Proctor has faced thus far, but the major weakness of the Cocks’ unit has been the secondary. Proctor has attempted 14 passes all season, so it’s the front seven in Columbia that will play the key role. The upside is very limited, even if Navy keeps it close.
Keith Price, Washington (at Nebraska)
The good news in Seattle is that Steve Sarkisian has clearly found his quarterback. The bad is that Price is facing an angry Huskers team in Memorial Stadium. He did get plenty of experience in garbage time at Oregon last season but has never seen anything like the atmosphere he will be facing this weekend. The upside is extremely limited as even playing well last week, Derek Carr managed 14.6 fantasy points passing last week against Nebraska.
Kolton Browning, UL-Monroe (at TCU)
Until he gets to Sun Belt play, Browning shouldn’t be anywhere near the starting line-up. He is 26-50 for 246 yards and one touchdown in two games thus far. Enough said.
Play with caution:
Nick Foles, Arizona (Stanford)
Against the Cardinal last year, Foles threw for 248 yards, one TD and one INT. It was his lowest yardage total since the 10-9 Cal win back on September 25, 2010. Stanford has held both starting quarterbacks it has faced this fall to less than 200 yards passing and has looked like a national title contender in its two blowout wins.
Corey Robinson, Troy (at Arkansas)
There is a chance that Robinson could throw a few garbage time touchdowns, but Arkansas will dominate this one from the opening kickoff. A similar line to his Clemson performance feels right for Robinson: 258 yards, TD, INT.
Alex Gillett, Eastern Michigan (at Michigan)
The Wolverines defense doesn’t scare anyone, but there is a clear talent differential in this one. After a quality first week (25.2 TFP), Gillett looked terrible against Alabama State, completing only seven of his 19 passes for 61 yards.
Landry Jones at EJ Manuel (Oklahoma at Florida State)
Brock Osweiler at Nathan Scheelhaase (Arizona State at Illinois)
Kirk Cousins at Tommy Rees (Michigan State at Notre Dame)
Jordan Webb at Tevin Washington (Kansas at Georgia Tech)
Barrett Trotter at Tajh Boyd (Auburn at Clemson)
Start These Running Backs:
Isaiah Crowell, Georgia (Coastal Carolina)
Against South Carolina, Crowell had his nationally televised coming out party. He runs with excellent patience and vision and can be used in all facets of the offense. Look for Richt to get him plenty of work against the lowly Chanticleers.
Andre Williams, Boston College (Duke)
Montel Harris has yet to practice and the redshirting rumors are growing louder in Chestnut Hill. That leaves the carries in the very capable arms of Andre the Giant. Duke allowed 205 yards on 30 carries (6.8 yards per carry) and two touchdowns against Stanford last week. Expect Boston College to get back to its roots and pound the football in an effort to win its first game of the season.
Isi Sofele, Cal (Presbyterian)
This Golden Bear hasn’t shown the same talent as the Bests and the Lynchs of past years, but he still has topped 80 yards and 20 carries in both games this fall. He scored twice against Fresno State, and against the Blue Hose, Sofele should be very successful.
Terrance Ganaway, Baylor (Stephen F. Austin)
The starting tailback for Baylor has been champing at the bit to get back onto the field after the 15-day layoff. He rushed 24 times for 120 yards against TCU; expect Art Briles to get him rolling early against the FCS opponent.
Josh Harris, Wake Forest (Gardner-Webb)
Harris has carried the ball 22 and 23 times respectively against Syracuse (66 yards) and NC State (96 yards). The level of competition is far below that of the previous first two weeks, so the sophomore future star could have a big day against the Runnin’ Bulldogs.
DeAnthony Thomas, Oregon (Missouri State)
This one is a no-brainer. Thomas has touched the ball 12 times on the ground for 103 yards with one score and eight times for 140 yards with two scores through the air. The Black Mamba is a dynamic breakaway threat who can score from anywhere on the field, and against Missouri State, he should get plenty of work.
Michael Hayes, Houston (at Louisiana Tech)
Here is the touches breakdown in the crowded Cougars’ pseudo-backfield: Charles Sims has four carries and two receptions, Bryce Beall has 18 carries and one receptions and Hayes has 20 carries and 11 receptions. Clearly, Case Keenum and Kevin Sumlin like Hayes’ game the most. And against La. Tech, there will boatloads of points scored on both sides.
If you are desperate:
Curtis Underwood, NC State (South Alabama)
Marc Tyler, USC (Syracuse)
Christine Michael, Texas A&M (Idaho)
Eddie Lacy, Alabama (North Texas)
Kendrick Hardy, Jamal Woodyard, Southern Miss (Houston)
Bench These Running Backs:
Lance Dunbar, North Texas (at Alabama)
This one is pretty self-explanatory. Bama has the best defense I have seen on any college field thus far. Dunbar will be held completely in check this week. Look elsewhere.
Adonis Thomas, Toledo (Boise State)
This makes two weeks in a row that one of the MAC’s best fantasy plays needs to be on the bench. Boise State has an NFL front line on defense and will be even tougher than Ohio State – who held Thomas to 47 yards on 14 carries.
Chris Polk, Washington (at Nebraska)
There has been a lot of talk about how Nebraksa has struggled on defense this fall. The Huskers couldn’t stop Bobby Rainey in week one of last season, but then turned it on the rest of the way. Robbie Rouse ran for 169 yards against Big Red last week, but he needed 36 carries to get there. There is no doubt that Bo Pelini has lit a fire under his defensive unit, and the Huskers will come out fired up against a team they are extremely familiar with – this is the third meeting in roughly one calendar year for the two.
Tauren Poole, Tennessee (at Florida)
Poole has been on the verge of breaking a big run through two games but has been held in relative check. He has 45 carries for 199 yards and only the one score thus far in 2011. But the Florida Gators front seven will be by far the toughest test he has faced. He managed only 23 yards on 10 carries last season in Knoxville against Florida. Is allowing 1.5 points per game a good thing?
Antwon Bailey, Syracuse (at USC)
Bailey was excellent in Week One and wasn’t asked to do to much (for some reason) against Rhode Island in Week Two. The Trojans defense looks to be dramatically improved from a year ago after holding the very underrated John White IV to 56 yards on 20 carries last week.
Perry Jones, Kevin Parks, Virginia (at North Carolina)
Javonti Greene, Dominique Sherrer, Eastern Michigan (at Michigan)
Jeff Scott, Ole Miss (at Vanderbilt)
Bernard Pierce, Temple (Penn State)
Ray Graham, Pitt (at Iowa)
Wide Receiver To Watch:
Emory Blake, Auburn (at Clemson)
At least 95 yards in each game and a score in both games. Should be high scoring.
Quinton Patton, Louisiana Tech (Houston)
Has 13 catches in the first two games and this one should feature lots of points.
Josh Boyce, TCU (UL-Monroe)
At least five catches and 76 yards in each game thus far. Looks like Pachall’s go-to.
Sammy Waktins, Clemson (Auburn)
Getting a lot touches as only a freshman (5 att., 11 rec.) and should be high scoring.
DeVonte Christopher, Utah (at BYU)
One of the Pac-12’s most underrated wideouts. Huge game (11-136-1) last week.
B.J. Cunningham, Michigan State (at Notre Dame)
Sparty’s all-time leading receiver should take advantage of the weak Irish secondary.
Taveon Rogers, New Mexico State (UTEP)
Has scored a touchdown and reached at least 88 yards in each game thus far.
Top Ten DEF/ST Spot Starts:
1. South Florida (FAMU)
2. Oregon (Missouri State)
3. NC State (South Alabama)
4. UCF (at FIU)
5. Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
6. Texas A&M (Idaho)
7. Texas Tech (at New Mexico)
8. South Carolina (Navy)
9. Western Kentucky (Indiana State)
10. Arkansas (Troy)
Other Week 3 Content:
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