College Football Week 10 Upset Predictions
Athlon picks the upsets to watch in Week 10.
By: Steven Lassan | 11/1/12, 5:50 AM EDT
The 2012 college football season is entering its final full month of action. There's plenty of twists and turns still to come in the road to the national championship and there could be a few top-25 teams that fall this Saturday. Check out Athlon's upset picks for Week 10:
College Football's Week 10 Upset Predictions
David Fox (@DavidFox615): Ole Miss (+14) at Georgia
Georgia is a two touchdown favorite against Ole Miss after defeating Florida by 12 on a neutral field. That’s fair. Yet I don’t have much reason to trust Georgia this season. Just look at the the last month or so: Georgia won a shootout with Tennessee, lost by 28 to South Carolina, squeaked by Kentucky, then overcame three Aaron Murray interceptions against Florida only because the Gators coughed up six turnovers of their own. Even after a 30-27 win over Arkansas last week, Ole Miss is going to need to overcome Jarvis Jones but this is a dangerous game for a far-from perfect Georgia team coming off the high of defeating Florida.
Steven Lassan (@AthlonSteven): Washington (+4) at California
The Huskies and Golden Bears have been two of the hardest teams to figure out in the Pac-12 this season. California deserves some slack for playing a difficult schedule, but this team has been inconsistent, as evidenced by the 49-27 loss to Utah last week. Washington has struggled away from Seattle, losing 41-3 to LSU, 52-21 to Oregon and 52-17 to Arizona. Both teams are fighting for bowl eligibility, with California in worse shape at 3-6. The Huskies could win their final four games, especially considering the schedule features matchups against California, Utah, Colorado and Washington State. Not only is this week’s matchup with the Golden Bears about bowl eligibility, there’s also plenty of familiarity between these two teams. Washington hired defensive line coach Tosh Lupoi and offensive coordinator Eric Kiesau away from California in the offseason. Even though the Huskies have struggled to win on the road, I think they get the victory on Friday night. California could be without receiver Keenan Allen, and you have to wonder about this team with the rumor mill churning about Jeff Tedford’s future uncertain. If Allen is out, it’s a huge loss for the Golden Bears and one that could be just enough to swing the balance of power in favor of the Huskies to take home a close victory.
Mark Ross: UAB (+3) over Southern Miss
Let's not kid ourselves here, neither team is very good as UAB and Southern Miss have combined to win a grand total of one game. That lone victory by UAB came against Southeastern Louisiana, an FCS school. However, that will change this Saturday in Hattiesburg, Miss., as either the Blazers will double their win total or the Golden Eagles will finally get first-year head coach Ellis Johnson into the win column. Unfortunately for coach Johnson and the Eagles, I think the losing streak continues as the Blazers have too much offense for them to overcome. UAB is averaging 422 yards of offense per game, good for 51st in the nation, while Southern Miss comes in at No. 104 with only 322.6 yards per game. That's a difference of nearly 100 yards. Both defenses have struggled to stop opponents on offense, and even though the Golden Eagles have fared better in this category (431.5 ypg compared to 461.1 for UAB), I just don't think they will be able to solve their offensive issues in this game. I wouldn't be surprised to see Southern Miss score considerably more than the 19.3 points per game it is averaging, but likewise I also expect UAB to pile up the points since the Golden Eagles are allowing nearly 40 per contest. If you like offense, this game should feature plenty, just don't expect it to end in a Southern Miss victory.
Patrick Snow (@AthlonSnowman): Mississippi State (+6.5) vs. Texas A&M
The Bulldogs are coming off their first loss of the season, a 38-7 spanking at No. 1 Alabama. The Aggies had a drastically different result in the Yellowhammer State last week, crushing Auburn by a 63-21 mark. So will Johnny Manziel, the SEC’s newest sensation, lead Texas A&M’s offense to big points and a win at Mississippi State? I’m not so sure. Dan Mullen’s crew is pretty tough to beat in Starkville, and the Bulldogs should use a raucous home crowd and an advantage in turnover margin to their favor. MSU does not give the ball away very often, and the Aggies defense does not tend to take it away. And if the Bulldogs can ride LaDarius Perkins (5.4 YPC and eight TDs) and an efficient Tyler Russell (15 TD passes and two INTs) into winning the time of possession, they can keep “Johnny Football” and the high-octane Aggies off the field. In their first matchup since the 2000 Independence Bowl (a 43-41 Bulldogs victory during a rare Louisiana snowstorm), I’ll take the “Bell” over the “Yell” at Davis Wade Stadium.
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