Betting Against the Spread: Rose, Sugar, BCS Title and More
Athlon Sports targets the best college football bets of the bowl season.
By: Braden Gall | 12/31/12, 6:05 AM EST
For entertainment purposes only, Athlon brings you the top college football picks against the spread. It does not condone, approve or encourage gambling on sports in any way. But if you are a fan of football — college or pro — and you don't think gambling has played a huge role in the growth and popularity of the sport, then you are simply being ignorant. And behind closed doors, the powers that be understand the impact betting has had on the game of football. So just for fun, here are some of the more intriguing lines of the 2012 bowl season.
2012 Record Against The Spread: 54-34
Note: All lines are as of date of publication
Louisville (+13.5) at Florida (Sugar Bowl) Jan. 2
Charlie Strong's personal goals against his former team can only carry this team so far before this showcase becomes an 11-1 SEC team and one that lost to UConn. As many as half of a dozen Gators could be auditioning for the pro scouts as well. The talent differential between these two is nearly as great as the Orange Bowl. Will Muschamp knows a great showing in this game springboards his offense into a critical offseason. Prediction: Florida -13.5
Alabama (-10) at Notre Dame (BCS National Championship) Jan. 7
The last three BCS National Championship games that featured point-spreads of at least seven were outright upsets. Ohio State defeated Miami as a 12.5-point underdog in 2002, Texas beat USC as a 7-point dog and Florida upset Ohio State after the Buckeyes opened as a 9.5-point favorite. I am not calling for the outright win, but Notre Dame matches-up perfectly with Alabama and has all the talent to play the Tide tight. Look for a close, low-scoring game in which AJ McCarron and Amari Cooper will have to make one big play late in the fourth to win. Prediction: Notre Dame +10
Wisconsin (+6.5) at Stanford (Rose Bowl) Jan. 1
These two teams are carbon copies of each other a few small yet significant differences. Both teams run the ball effectively with powerful offensive lines and a heavy dose of the tight end position. And both teams play solid defense against the run and force inefficient play from the quarterback. That said, the Cardinal have a huge advantage at the quarterback position (Kevin Hogan over Curt Phillips) and in the front seven. While the Badgers are fundamentally sound and have solid toughness, it has little star power and big-play potential. The Cardinal could have upwards of four or five NFL players near the line of scrimmage and it leads the nation in big plays (sacks and TFLs per game). Prediction: Stanford -6.5
Mississippi State (-2) at Northwestern (Gator Bowl) Jan. 1
Pat Fitzgerald has his best rushing attack of his seven-year tenure in Evanston. Kain Colter and Venric Mark were virtually unstoppable this season at churning out yards. He has led his alma mater to unprecedented levels of success, reaching the postseason for the fifth time — but has yet to break through with a win. Look for the Bulldogs defense that allowed 203.6 yards rushing per game over its final five. Prediction: Northwestern +2
NC State (+7) at Vanderbilt (Music City Bowl) Dec. 31
Bowl games are virtually impossible to gauge in terms of motivation and focus. But this moment seems bigger than just one game for James Franklin and the Vanderbilt Commodores. And everyone in Nashville knows it. This game in this town in Year 2 of an exciting new program on West End will be too much for a team going through a regime change and a quarterback looking to impress NFL scouts. Take the Dores to get a monumental win for its program in its home town. Prediction: Vanderbilt -7
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