College Fantasy Football: Using Vegas Odds to Determine Best Week 13 Plays
Who should be in your fantasy lineup this weekend?
By: Steven Lassan | 11/21/12, 4:52 AM EST
In the world of fantasy football, some team owners are relentless in their search for information that will give them a competitive edge over their competition. Others just simply rely on projections from so-called experts, who try to convince everyone they have devised a computer program that accurately projects player stats by using a scientific formula so complicated that it makes the Drake equation seem elementary. Eventually, those computer-driven computations prove no more accurate than an old-fashioned gut feeling. However, in a quest to find a formula for fantasy success, one should just ask the question, “What are the odds?”
Quite simply, Vegas odds could give you all of the necessary insight to make smart roster decisions on a week-to-week basis. In this weekly article, theCFFsite considers the point spreads and totals(over/under) in order to give our readers a unique perspective into some of the week’s most interesting fantasy matchups.
Week 13
Best Fantasy Matchups(Games with the most fantasy potential)
Texas Tech vs Baylor
Line: Baylor -2.5(O/U-78)
Projected score based on point spread: Baylor 41-38
Best plays:
Baylor (QB-Nick Florence, WR-Terrance Williams)
Texas Tech (QB-Seth Doege, WRs-Eric Ward, Darrin Moore)
Also consider:
Baylor (RBs-Lache Seastrunk, Glasco Martin, WR-Tevin Reese)
Texas Tech (RB-Kenny Williams, K-Ryan Bustin)
theCFFsite projects: Baylor 48-42
Oklahoma St at Oklahoma
Line: Oklahoma -7.5(O/U-72.5)
Projected score based on point spread: Oklahoma 40-33
Best plays:
Oklahoma (QB-Landry Jones, RB-Damien Williams, WR-Kenny Stills)
Oklahoma St (QB-Clint Chelf, RB-Joseph Randle, WR-Josh Stewart)
Also consider:
Oklahoma (WRs-Justin Brown, Jalen Saunders)
Oklahoma St (WRs-Isaiah Anderson, Charlie Moore, K-Quinn Sharp)
theCFFsite projects: Oklahoma St 31-28
Marshall at East Carolina
Line: Marshall -3.5(O/U-76)
Projected score based on point spread: Marshall 40-37
Best plays:
Marshall (QB-Rakeem Cato, WRs-Tommy Shuler, Antavious Wilson)
East Carolina (QB-Shane Carden, WR-Justin Hardy)
Also consider:
Marshall (RB-Kevin Grooms, TE-Gator Hoskins)
East Carolina (RB-Vintavious Cooper)
theCFFsite projects: Marshall 38-34
Louisiana Tech at San Jose State
Line: Louisiana Tech -5(O/U-75)
Projected score based on point spread: LA Tech 40-35
Best plays:
Louisiana Tech (QB-Colby Cameron, RB-Kenneth Dixon, WR-Quinton Patton)
San Jose St (QB-David Fales, WRs-Noel Grigsby, TE-Ryan Otten)
Also consider:
Louisiana Tech (RB-Ray Holley, WR-Myles White, K-Matt Nelson)
San Jose St (DeLeon Eskridge, WR-Chandler Jones)
theCFFsite projects: Louisiana Tech 45-31
One-Sided Matchups(Using the odds to find a dominating ‘D’)
Auburn at Alabama
Line: Alabama -31(O/U-46)
Projected score based on point spread: Alabama 39-8
Stay away from:
Auburn (RB-Tre Mason, WR-Emory Blake)
theCFFsite projects: Alabama 38-10
Idaho at Utah St
Line: Utah St -39(O/U-57.5)
Projected score based on point spread: Utah St 49-9
Stay away from:
Idaho (WR-Mike Scott)
theCFFsite projects: Utah St 49-10
BYU at New Mexico St
Line: BYU -29(O/U-48.5)
Projected score based on point spread: BYU 39-10
Stay away from:
New Mexico St (WR-Kemonte Bateman)
theCFFsite projects: BYU 45-14
Utah at Colorado
Line: Utah -23(O/U-53)
Projected score based on point spread: Utah 38-15
Stay away from:
Colorado (RB-Christian Powell)
theCFFsite projects: Utah 31-10
Must Watch Games(The games with the biggest headlines)
Michigan at Ohio St
Line: Ohio St -4(O/U-54.5)
Projected score based on point spread: Ohio St 29-25
What’s at stake: The Buckeyes are playing for an undefeated season, while the Wolverines need a win and a Nebraska loss to earn a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game.
theCFFsite projects: Ohio St 27-21
Stanford at UCLA
Line: Stanford -2(O/U-53)
Projected score based on point spread: Stanford 28-26
What’s at stake: If UCLA wins, they get Oregon in the PAC-12 Championship Game, but a Bruins loss will result in a rematch next week in the conference title game.
theCFFsite projects: Stanford 31-17
Florida at Florida St
Line: Florida St -6(O/U-NA)
Projected score based on point spread: N/A
What’s at stake: An outside shot to play in the BCS Championship Game.
theCFFsite projects: Florida 24-20
Notre Dame at USC
Line: Notre Dame -6(O/U-NA)
Projected score based on point spread: N/A
What’s at stake: A win by the Irish lands them in the BCS Championship Game.
theCFFsite projects: Notre Dame 31-14
theCFFsite in Must Watch games:
2012 Season: Straight Up (22-17) ATS: (18-21)
2011 Season: Straight Up (40-9) ATS: (35-14)
by Joe DiSalvo
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