College Fantasy Football: Using Vegas Odds to Determine Best Week 12 Plays
Chuckie Keeton is a top fantasy play against Louisiana Tech this Saturday.
By: Steven Lassan | 11/13/12, 3:05 AM EST
In the world of fantasy football, some team owners are relentless in their search for information that will give them a competitive edge over their competition. Others just simply rely on projections from so-called experts, who try to convince everyone they have devised a computer program that accurately projects player stats by using a scientific formula so complicated that it makes the Drake equation seem elementary. Eventually, those computer-driven computations prove no more accurate than an old-fashioned gut feeling. However, in a quest to find a formula for fantasy success, one should just ask the question, “What are the odds?”
Quite simply, Vegas odds could give you all of the necessary insight to make smart roster decisions on a week-to-week basis. In this weekly article, theCFFsite considers the point spreads and totals(over/under) in order to give our readers a unique perspective into some of the week’s most interesting fantasy matchups.
Week 12
Best Fantasy Matchups(Games with the most fantasy potential)
Kansas St at Baylor
Line: Kansas St -11.5(O/U-74)
Projected score based on point spread: Kansas St 43-32
Best plays:
Baylor (QB-Nick Florence, WR-Terrance Williams)
Kansas St (QB-Collin Klein, RB-John Hubert)
Also consider:
Baylor (RB-Lache Seastrunk, WRs-Tevin Reese, Lanear Sampson)
Kansas St (WR-Chris Harper, K-Anthony Cantele)
theCFFsite projects: Kansas St 40-28
Oklahoma at West Virginia
Line: Oklahoma -10.5(O/U-73)
Projected score based on point spread: Oklahoma 42-31
Best plays:
Oklahoma (QB-Landry Jones, RB-Damien Williams, WR-Kenny Stills)
West Virginia (QB-Geno Smith, WRs-Tavon Austin, Stedman Bailey)
Also consider:
Oklahoma (RBs-Brennan Clay, WR-Justin Brown)
West Virginia (RB-Andrew Buie)
theCFFsite projects: West Virginia 42-38
Houston at Marshall
Line: Marshall -3.5(O/U-76)
Projected score based on point spread: Marshall 40-37
Best plays:
Marshall (QB-Rakeem Cato, WRs-Tommy Shuler, Antavious Wilson)
Houston (QB-David Piland, RB-Charles Sims-inj)
Also consider:
Marshall (WR-Aaron Dobson, TE-Gator Hoskins)
Houston (RB-Kenneth Farrow, WRs-Deontay Greenberry, Daniel Spencer)
theCFFsite projects: Marshall 38-30
Texas Tech at Oklahoma St
Line: Oklahoma St -10.5(O/U-72)
Projected score based on point spread: Oklahoma St 42-31
Best plays:
Texas Tech (QB-Seth Doege, WRs-Eric Ward, Darrin Moore)
Oklahoma St (RB-Joseph Randle, WRs-Charlie Moore, Josh Stewart, K-Quinn Sharp)
Also consider:
Texas Tech (RB-Kenny Williams, K-Ryan Bustin)
Oklahoma St (QB-Clint Chelf, TE-Blake Jackson)
theCFFsite projects: Oklahoma St 37-28
One-Sided Matchups(Using the odds to find a dominating ‘D’)
Colorado St at Boise St
Line: Boise St -28(O/U-50)
Projected score based on point spread: Boise St 39-11
Stay away from:
Colorado St (RBs-Donnell Alexander, Chris Nwoke)
theCFFsite projects: Boise St 42-14
Wake Forest at Notre Dame
Line: Notre Dame -24(O/U-44)
Projected score based on point spread: Notre Dame 34-10
Stay away from:
Wake Forest (QB-Tanner Price, RB-Josh Harris)
theCFFsite projects: Notre Dame 24-17
Florida St at Maryland
Line: Florida St -31(O/U-45.5)
Projected score based on point spread: Florida St 38-7
Stay away from:
Maryland (Stefon Diggs)
theCFFsite projects: Florida St 37-10
Must Watch Games(The games with the biggest headlines)
Rutgers at Cincinnati
Line: Cincinnati -6.5(O/U-47)
Projected score based on point spread: Cincinnati 27-20
What’s at stake: Rutgers (8-1, 4-0) will try to stay undefeated in conference play and stay one game ahead of Louisville in the Big East, while Cincinnati (7-2, 3-1) hopes to stay in the race.
theCFFsite projects: Cincinnati 23-20
Kent St at Bowling Green
Line: Bowling Green -2.5(O/U-47)
Projected score based on point spread: Bowling Green 25-22
What’s at stake: First place in the MAC East.
theCFFsite projects: Kent St 27-21
Toledo at Northern Illinois
Line: NIU -11(O/U-63)
Projected score based on point spread: NIU 37-26
What’s at stake: First place in the MAC West.
theCFFsite projects: Northern Illinois 45-35
Utah St at Louisiana Tech
Line: Utah St -3(O/U-70.5)
Projected score based on point spread: Utah St 37-34
What’s at stake: First place in the WAC.
theCFFsite projects: Utah St 45-41
USC at UCLA
Line: USC -3.5(O/U-65)
Projected score based on point spread: USC 35-31
What’s at stake: First place in the PAC-12 South.
theCFFsite projects: USC 37-28
Stanford at Oregon
Line: Oregon – 21 (O/U-65.5)
Projected score based on point spread: Oregon 43-22
What’s at stake: First place in the PAC-12 North.
theCFFsite projects: Oregon 48-28
theCFFsite in Must Watch games:
2012 Season: Straight Up (19-14) ATS: (13-20)
2011 Season: Straight Up (40-9) ATS: (35-14)
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