Bracket Breakdown: The Field of 68
Selection Sunday is just a week away.
By: Mitch Light | 3/2/12, 9:57 AM EST
The first Automatic bids will be handed out this weekend. Selection Sunday is just over a week away. Here is our look at the Field of 68.
In: Duke, Florida State, Miami, North Carolina, Virginia
Worth a mention: NC State
Notes: NC State is over .500 in the ACC (8–7) and technically has no top-50 RPI wins. But it does have two wins over Miami (No. 52) and one over Texas (No. 54) — and two of those came away from home. The Pack will need to get something done in the ACC Tournament. Miami remains in the field after beating Florida State at home (without Reggie Johnson) and then losing by four at NC State. The Hurricanes’ win at Duke is the difference-maker. Virginia has lost four of six, including Thursday night’s buzzer at home to Florida State. The Cavs might start to sweat if they lose at Maryland on Sunday.
American East (1)
In: Stony Brook
In: Saint Louis, Temple
Worth a mention: Dayton, Saint Joseph’s, UMass, Xavier
Notes: Xavier is out after failing to protect a 10-point lead at the half vs. Saint Louis. The Musketeers haven’t won two straight games since mid-January. Dayton has three top-30 RPI wins, but also had two losses to teams ranked in the 200s.
Big 12 (6)
In: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri, Texas
Worth a mention: None
Notes: Six of Texas’ 11 losses have come against North Carolina, Kansas, Baylor (twice) and Missouri (twice). The only thing close to a bad loss for the Horns was a neutral-court two-OT setback vs. Oregon State. They have a win over Temple on their résumé, too. Iowa State removed any doubt by winning at Kansas State last week.
Big East (10)
In: Cincinnati, Connecticut, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, Seton Hall, South Florida, Syracuse, West Virginia
Worth a mention: None
Notes: It was a good week for South Florida, which beat Cincinnati on Sunday and won at Louisville on Wednesday — despite scoring a total of 104 points. Despite a 12–5 Big East record, the Bulls still aren’t safe, though. Beating West Virginia at home on Saturday would help. West Virginia is trending in the wrong direction, but there is still enough meat on the bone (wins vs. Georgetown and K-State) to keep the Mountaineers in the field.
Big Sky (1)
Big South (1)
Big Ten (7)
In: Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Northwestern, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin
Worth a mention: Illinois,
Notes: It was another painful loss for Northwestern, but there is no shame in losing by one point to Ohio State, even at home. The game at Iowa on Saturday is enormous — quite possibly the biggest game in school history. Win and the Cats are likely in. Lose and they will need to win several games in Indy. Illinois’ late-season slide continued with a loss at home to Michigan on Thursday night.
Big West (1)
In: Long Beach State.
Worth a mention: George Mason, VCU
Notes: VCU’s profile has received a boost by South Florida’s recent surge. The Rams beat USF by 23 points in November. They will be tough to keep out, especially if they reach the CAA finals. George Mason boasts a gaudy 14–4 mark in the CAA but has no wins vs. top 50 RPI teams. Its best wins are at home against Bucknell and VCU.
In: Memphis, Southern Miss
Worth a mention: UCF
Notes: The Knights have lost three of their past five, including a damaging setback at Rice. The RPI (66) likes this team more than KenPom (94).
In: Savannah State
In: Creighton, Wichita State
In: Colorado State New Mexico, San Diego State, UNLV
Worth a mention: None
Notes: Colorado State has wins at home over UNLV, San Diego State and New Mexico, but has done nothing on the road. The Rams are 29 in the RPI but 79 in KenPom. They have a lot of losses (10), as well. Last team in for now.
In: Long Island
In: Murray State
Pac 12 (2)
In: California, Washington
Worth a mention: Arizona, Colorado, Oregon
Notes: Washington is in as the projected Pac-12 Tournament champion. Arizona has only one win to brag about, at Cal in early February. The Cats might have to win the league tourney to get in. Colorado has some decent wins but has done very little away from home. Oregon (RPI 44, KenPom 71) has won five of six games and is now 12–5 in the Pac-12. The Ducks are in the hunt.
In: Alabama, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt
Worth a mention: Tennessee
Notes: Mississippi State stopped the bleeding with an overtime win at South Carolina on Wednesday night. The Bulldogs’ RPI is 60, and they are ranked 72nd in KenPom. Those are dangerous waters. They have to beat Arkansas at home on Saturday. Tennessee has an opportunity to be the No. 2 seed in the SEC Tournament (the Vols have to beat Vanderbilt), but is still a longshot for an at-large bid. Cuonzo Martin’s club has two great wins over Florida, but not much else to brag about. They are 16–13 overall and have four losses to 100+ RPI teams.
In: Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1)
In: Middle Tennessee
In: Mississippi Valley State
In: BYU, Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s
Notes: BYU has solid numbers (RPI 46, KenPom 37) and two wins vs. teams projected to make the field, Gonzaga and Nevada. Saint Mary’s bounced back from a two-game slide to beat Portland and San Francisco on the road.
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