CFB Fantasy: Freshmen/JUCO RB Outlook

Freshmen/JUCO RB Outlook

Athlon continues its 2010 college fantasy draft kit with a look at freshmen, redshirt freshmen and junior college running backs that could contribute this season. # - National Fantasy Running Back Ranking

Every season, freshmen and junior college recruits step onto campus with an opportunity to start. Which true/redshirt freshmen and JUCO running backs should you target in your fall draft?

Freshmen

1. Michael Dyer, Auburn (#90)
The No. 2 running back recruit in the nation is built to be a workhorse back in the mold of Maurice Jones-Drew or Jacquizz Rodgers. Dyer is short (5-foot-8) in stature but not production. The former AC100 prospect owns nearly every state rushing record in Arkansas and will push for early playing time. Mario Fannin is a converted wide receiver and Onterio McCalebb is more of a third down back. There is a lot of talent ahead of him, but Dyer might be too good to keep off the field.

2. Dillon Baxter, USC (#104)
This AC100 recruit did everything for his high school team – he passed for 1,968 yards and 26 TDs (only 7 INTs) while rushing for a San Diego record 2,984 yards and 50 TDs. He added two INT returns for scores as well as acting as the return man. The EA Sports Mr. Football USA and Max Preps National Player of the Year should step right into the Trojan backfield after enrolling early this spring and compete for time. Passing Allen Bradford, C.J. Gable, Marc Tyler and Stanley Havili on the depth chart will be tough, but Baxter could weasel his way into the mix this fall.

3. Marcus Lattimore, South Carolina (#107)
The No. 1 running back prospect in the nation has a chance to start right away. Lattimore is the complete package of skills and will be an excellent receiver as well as an every down back. There isn’t a lot in his way on the depth chart but the offense has failed to run the ball effectively for as long as Steve Spurrier has been there. Lattimore could easily end up as the top true freshman running back in the nation for 2010.

4. Malcolm Jones, UCLA (#149)
Few players were as productive as Jones as a senior in high school. He rushed for 2,156 yards and 36 TDs on less than 200 carries while doubling as a stud linebacker who tallied 136 tackles. Johnathan Franklin is the starter but Norm Chow cannot wait to see what Jones can do — and the 2009 Gatorade National Player of the Year might never relinquish the starting gig if he gets his chance.

5. Storm Johnson, Miami
Johnson is a few names down the Hurricane depth chart but has been enrolled in classes since January and has been making good impressions ever since. The offensive line hasn’t been great in recent years but should be improved this season and the big freshman will have a chance to pass the other backs currently vying for carries.

6. Deontae Cooper, Washington
Talented recruit has been turning heads in practice thus far, likely backup to Chris Polk.

7. Casey Turner, Rutgers
Joe Martinek is average, so Turner could sneak into the line-up easily.

8. Lache Seastrunk, Oregon
Way too talented to keep off the field with the recent depletion of skill guys.

9. Joshua Quezada, BYU
Without Harvey Unga, there will be plenty of carries to go around.

10. Mack Brown, Florida
A very talented kid who has to pass a lot of good names for playing time.

Other names to watch:
11. DeMarcus Robinson, Kansas State
12. Josh Snead, Duke
13. Jordan James, UCLA
14. Jerrell Rhodes, Memphis
15. Brennan Clay, Oklahoma
 
JUCOs

1. Vick Ballard, Mississippi State (#133)
Ballard is a prototype big JUCO back. He is a bruiser who is much more like Anthony Dixon than Robert Elliott is — who will need to struggle if Ballard expects to earn 150+ carries.

2. Pat Shed, UAB
Should start so is viable but the Blazers ground attack is not the most potent.

3. Jasmin Hopkins, Northern Illinois
The Huskies will share carries but Hopkins is a clear No. 2 to Chad Spann.

4. Kenny Ashley, Ohio
Will have a chance to separate himself once camp opens – provided he makes the grade.

5. Debrale Smiley, Florida State
Must pass two solid options to get a chance to play behind that stellar offensive line.

Redshirts

1. Kendrick Hardy, Southern Miss (#59)
The depth chart doesn’t indicate Hardy will start currently but make no mistake he is most talented running back on the roster. He will need to pass some more experienced options in order to be fantasy relevant. If he earns the starting job, however, he should post some good numbers as the Southern Miss tailback has been one of the juicier fantasy players in recent memory.

2. Michael Ford, LSU (#98)
Ford is an outstanding talent who has a chance to reestablish the physical presence fans are accustomed to seeing from the LSU ground game. He will need to pass Stevan Ridley on the depth chart in order to see carries, but if the offensive line can solidify itself, Ford could really shine.

3. Lamar Miller, Miami (#135)
Much like Johnson, Miller will have a chance to pass the other names who are projected to start. The Frank Gore-type player is the hometown kid and should get plenty of chances to make plays.

4. Ronnie Hillman, San Diego State
Hillman was slotted to play last season but was slowed by eligibility issues. The 116th ranked offense should get a big boost from this youngster who could start from game one.

5. Fitzgerald Toussaint, Michigan
The backfield is wide open in Ann Arbor and Toussaint has as good a chance as any to separate himself. The RichRod spread option always has plenty of carries to go around, so if he can beat out the injured Vincent Smith and the smallish Michael Shaw, he will have a chance to produce some decent numbers.

Other names to watch:

6. Jeremy Smith, Oklahoma State
7. Chris Whaley, Texas
8. Jamaal Berry, Ohio State
9. Bradley Randle, UNLV
10. Marcus Washington, Arizona State

COMMENTS

CFB Fantasy: Non-BCS Fantasy RBs

Non-BCS Fantasy RBs

Athlon continues its 2010 college fantasy draft kit with a look at the Non-BCS running backs.

Non-BCS Fantasy Running Back Rankings and Profiles

Fantasy points based upon standard scoring system – passing touchdowns = 4 pts, rushing touchdowns = 6 pts, 25 passing yards = 1 point, 10 rush/receiving yards = 1 point, receptions = 0.5 points, 2 point conversions = 2 points

Conference USA

1. Donald Buckram, UTEP (SR) – Bye Week - 13
Buckram was one of last season’s top breakout players, finishing fourth nationally with 132.8 yards per game and setting a single-season record for rushing yards at UTEP. His breakout season came as a surprise, with UTEP expected to lean with the passing attack last year. Before last season, Buckram’s playing experience was limited to 64 yards in 2007 on 14 carries.

Athlon’s Take: Was Buckram’s 2009 season a one-year wonder or a sign of things to come? The senior has one of the best offensive lines in Conference USA returning, but needs to prove he can repeat those numbers to be an elite fantasy option. The Miners still have a solid passing attack and could feature it more in 2010. Expect Buckram to be a solid fantasy back, but only one year of success could cause him to slip in drafts.

2009 stats: 336.7 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,594 yds., 18 TDs
Receiving: 30 rec., 453 yds., 3 TDs

2. Bryce Beall, Houston (JR) – Bye Week – 5
Beall was expected to be one of the top fantasy running backs last season, but the emergence of Charles Sims and nagging injuries prevented him from reaching preseason expectations. Sims was ruled ineligible after spring practice, leaving Beall as Houston’s top running back for 2010. The junior didn’t earn a 100-yard effort last season, but averaged nearly five yards a carry and was a significant factor in the passing game.

Athlon’s Take: Beall is an excellent selection in all formats, but his value with receptions makes him an even better pick in PPR leagues. With Sims sidelined, Beall’s numbers should resemble those of his 2008 season – 1,247 rushing yards, 13 scores and 34 receptions with four touchdowns.

2009 stats: 170.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 670 yds., 7 TDs
Receiving: 32 rec., 311 yds., 3 TDs

3. Martin Ward, Marshall (SO)
4. Sam McGuffie, Rice (SO)
5. Charles Clay, Tulsa (SR)
6. Brynn Harvey, UCF (JR)
7. Kendrick Hardy, Southern Miss (FR)
8. Jonathan Williams, East Carolina (SR)
9. Jerrell Rhodes, Memphis (FR)
10. Jonathan Davis, UCF (SO)
11. V.J. Floyd, Southern Miss (SR)
12. Albert Williams, Tulane (JR)
13. Norman Whitley, East Carolina (SR)
14. Charles Ross, Rice (SO)
15. Tyler Smith, Rice (JR)
16. Jamad Williams, Tulsa (SR)
17. Tracy Lampley, Southern Miss (SO)
18. Terrell Edwards-Maye, Marshall (JR)
19. Pat Shed, UAB (JR)
20. Lance Smith, Memphis (SR)
21. Chris Butler, SMU (SR)
22. Chris Wilson, Houston (SO)
23. Daniel Borne, UAB (SR)
24. Vernon Frazier, UTEP (JR)
25. Michael Dobson, East Carolina (FR)
26. Payten Jason, Tulane (SO)
27. Zach Line, SMU (SO)
28. Andre Booker, Marshall (SO)
29. Darryl Fields, SMU (FR)
30. Alex Singleton, Tulsa (SO)
31. Jeff Brinson, UCF (SO)
32. Derrick Hall, Tulsa (JR)
33. Desmond Johnson, Southern Miss (SO)
34. Justin Johnson, Houston (JR)
35. Brendan Kelly, UCF (SO)
36. Jason Williams, UTEP (SR)
37. Stephen Barnett, Tulane (SO)
38. Alex Owah, East Carolina (FR)
39. Giavanni Ruffin, East Carolina (SR)
40. Gregory Ray, Memphis (SR)
41. Chad Winbush, UAB (JR)
42. J.T. McDonald, Tulane (JR)
43. Justin Brooks, UAB (SR)
44. Greg Franklin, UAB (FR)
45. Orleans Darkwa, Tulane (FR)

MAC

1. Bernard Pierce, Temple (SO) – Bye Week – 11
After posting just 13 attempts in the first two games, Pierce burst onto the scene with 116 rushing yards and one score on 20 carries against Buffalo. After his breakout game against the Bulls, Pierce went on to earn five additional 100-yard performances, including 267 yards and two scores against Navy. Injuries hampered Pierce for most of the season half of last season, limiting him to 13 carries in Temple’s final three games. The sophomore didn’t figure much into the passing game last season, catching eight passes, but did catch three in the EagleBank Bowl against UCLA.

Athlon’s Take: The big question with Pierce is health. If the sophomore stays on the field, 250-270 carries, along with 1,500 yards, is a reasonable expectation. Fellow sophomore Matt Brown proved to be a capable backup last season and will be heavily involved in the offense to keep Pierce fresh. Pierce should be a top-10 fantasy back for this season, but be sure to grab Matt Brown as insurance.

2009 stats: 224.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,361 yds., 16 TDs
Receiving: 8 rec., 39 yds., 0 TD

2. Chad Spann, Northern Illinois (SR) – Bye Week – 10
Spann was the workhorse behind the nation’s No. 19 rushing offense last season, tying for fifth among running backs with a whopping 19 touchdown scores. Spann shared the workload with Me’co Brown last year, but Brown is no longer on the team. Junior college transfer Jasmin Hopkins and Iowa State transfer Cameron Bell will figure into the carry mix, but Spann should lead the team in rushing attempts.

Athlon’s Take: Spann had only four 100-yard efforts last season, but finding the endzone in all but three contests raised his fantasy value. Although Brown is no longer on the team, the Huskies won’t turn over a 250 carry season to Spann. The senior needs to be more consistent in his yardage totals each week, but his penchant for finding the endzone keeps him a solid RB2 option.

2009 stats: 226.5 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,038 yds., 19 TDs
Receiving: 10 rec., 122 yds., 1 TD

3. Willie Geter, Bowling Green (SR) – Bye Week – 10
Bowling Green ranked as the No. 6 passing offense in college football last season, but Geter became more involved with the offense as the season progressed. The diminutive 5-foot-8 back posted at least 15 rushing attempts in three out of the final five games, including 114 yards and three touchdowns against Toledo. Geter was also a significant contributor in the passing game, catching one pass in every game last season.

Athlon’s Take: With the dynamic pass/catch combination of Tyler Sheehan to Freddie Barnes out of eligibility, the Falcons will lean more on Geter this season. Geter may not be in position for 230 carries, but an increase from 176 to at least 200 seems likely. If the passing game struggles, Geter could find running room limited, but he will remain a threat to catch 30-50 passes this year.

2009 stats: 161.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 705 yds., 9 TDs
Receiving: 42 rec., 407 yds., 1 TD

4. Eugene Jarvis, Kent State (SR) – Bye Week – 4
Jarvis should be one of 2010’s top rebound candidates. The senior suffered a lacerated kidney in the second game of 2009 and was sidelined for the rest of the year. The senior has been a reliable fantasy option throughout his career, rushing for 1,669 yards and 10 scores in 2007 and despite missing three games in 2008, 801 yards and nine scores. 

Athlon’s Take: At only five-foot-five, Jarvis remains an injury concern with a heavy workload. However, the senior should open the season as Kent State’s No. 1 back and 170-225 carries is a reasonable expectation. If Jarvis can stay healthy and shake off the rust from last year, rushing for 1,000 yards would be a nice comeback after the serious injury suffered last season.

2009 stats: 28.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 158 yds., 1 TD
Receiving: 6 rec., 38 yds.

5. Morgan Williams, Toledo (JR) – Bye Week – 10
Williams has been a steady player over the last two seasons, but this will be his first chance to own the starting role all year. As a freshman, Williams collected 1,010 yards and six scores, but had only 74 attempts last season, with only one effort over 100 yards.

Athlon’s Take: The Rockets are loaded up front, with four starters returning on the line. With DaJuane Collins gone, the Rockets will hand the keys to Williams, who should see 170-200 carries this year. As long as Williams stays healthy, 1,000 yards and eight to ten scores is a reasonable projection.

2009 stats: 82.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 444 yds., 2 TDs
Receiving: 13 rec., 83 yds., 1 TD

6. MiQuale Lewis, Ball State (SR)
7. Aaron Winchester, Western Michigan (JR)
8. Matt Brown, Temple (SO)
9. Brandon Thermilus, Buffalo (SR)
10. Vince Davidson, Ohio (SR)
11. Dwayne Priest, Eastern Michigan  (SR)
12. Carl Volny, Central Michigan (SR)
13. Thomas Merriweather, Miami (SR)
14. Alex Allen, Akron (SR)
15. Jasmin Hopkins, Northern Illinois (JR)
16. Jacquise Terry, Kent State (JR)
17. Ike Nduka, Buffalo (SR)
18. Eric Williams, Ball State (SO)
19. Broderick Alexander, Akron (SO)
20. Cory Sykes, Ball State (SO)
21. Kenny Ashley, Ohio (JR)
22. Roman Lawson, Miami (SO)
23. Brian Fields, Western Michigan (FR)
24. Paris Cotton, Central Michigan (JR)
25. Adonis Thomas, Toledo (JR)
26. Jeffvon Gill, Buffalo (SO)
27. Branden Oliver, Buffalo (FR)
28. Dominique Sherrer, Eastern Michigan (JR)
29. John Pettigrew, Bowling Green (SO)
30. Cameron Bell, Northern Illinois (JR)
31. Dri Archer, Kent State (SO)
32. Nate Burney, Akron (SR)
33. Willie Culpepper, Miami (FR)
34. Tevin Drake, Western Michigan (FR)
35. Kevin King, Central Michigan (FR)
36. Jake Walker, Toledo (SO)
37. Ben Brown, Central Michigan (FR)
38. Darius Reeves, Toledo (FR)
39. Donte Harden, Ohio (JR)* suspended first six games of 2010

Mountain West

1. Eddie Wide, Utah (SR) - Bye Week - 5
Matt Asiata was lost for the season in the Utes' fourth contest last year, but the running game never missed a beat. Wide assumed the starting job and collected seven 100-yard efforts over the final 10 contests. Asiata gained an additional year of eligibility for 2010, which allows the Utes to spread the wealth with carries. However, Asiata has two major leg injuries in his career and there is some question whether or not he will be 100 percent when the season kicks off. Sophomore Sausan Shakerin will also figure into the mix, but Wide should lead the team in rushing attempts.

Athlon's Take: With four starters back on the line, Utah rushers will have no trouble finding holes to run through. Although Wide is our top-rated Ute running back, the potential does exist for Wide to lose carries this year due to the surrounding talent. The senior is a solid RB3, but be sure to invest in a quality RB4, just in case Asiata comes back at 100 percent and cuts into Wide's workload.

2009 stats: 195.2 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,069 yds., 12 TDs
Receiving: 17 rec., 154 yds., 1 TD

2. Edward Wesley, TCU (SO)
3. Alvester Alexander, Wyoming (SO)
4. J.J. Di Luigi, BYU (JR)
5. Jared Tew, Air Force (SR)
6. Matthew Tucker, TCU (SO)
7. Asher Clark, Air Force (JR)
8. John Mosure, Colorado State (SR)
9. Ronnie Hillman, San Diego State (FR)
10. Demond Dennis, New Mexico (SO)
11. C.J. Cox, UNLV (JR)
12. Leonard Mason, Colorado State (SR)
13. Matt Asiata, Utah (SR)
14. Bryan Kariya, BYU (JR)
15. Sausan Shakerin, Utah (SO)
16. Channing Trotter, UNLV (SR)
17. Walter Kazee, San Diego State (SO)
18. Raymond Carter, Colorado State (JR)
19. Bradley Randle, UNLV (FR)
20. Kasey Carrier, New Mexico (SO)
21. Aundre Dean, TCU (SO)
22. James Wright, New Mexico (JR)
23. Josh Quezada, BYU (FR)
24. Savier Stephens, Air Force (SR)
25. Nehemie Kankolongo, Wyoming (FR)
26. Waymon James, TCU (FR)
27. Davon Brown, San Diego State (SR)
28. Darius Jones, Air Force (SO)
29. Brandon Sullivan, San Diego State (SR)
30. Nathan Walker, Air Force (SR)
31. Anthony Miller, San Diego State (SO)
32. Algernon Brown, BYU (FR)
33. Tedder Easton, Wyoming (FR)
34. Ethan Grant, TCU (FR)
35. Imari Thompson, UNLV (SO)

Sun Belt

1. Lance Dunbar, North Texas (JR) – Bye Week – 8
Dunbar suffered a torn ACL midway through the 2008 season, and with the emergence of Cam Montgomery, the Mean Green didn’t need to rush Dunbar back into the lineup. However, Dunbar completed a successful rehab and returned in time for the first game of the season. After rushing for 97 yards in his first three games, Dunbar closed out the season on a tear, earning eight 100-yard games in the final nine contests. Even though Montgomery was expected to be North Texas’ go-to back last season, Dunbar’s quick recovery and stellar performances moved him atop the depth chart.

Athlon’s Take: The schools outside of the BCS always seem to have more volatility when it comes to fantasy value every year, and Dunbar’s surprise performance last season certainly raises the one year wonder question. With 200 carries last season, there is some potential for an increase in touches this season. Dunbar should be a 1,000-yard rusher, but like Donald Buckram, there is some concern whether he can pickup where he left off. Don’t overpay for Dunbar, but he should be one of the top-10 fantasy running backs.

2009 stats: 295.8 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,378 yds., 17 TDs
Receiving: 28 rec., 300 yds., 2 TDs

2. Frank Goodin, UL Monroe (SR) – Bye Week – 1
The Warhawks should have one of the top offenses in the Sun Belt, largely due to Goodin’s success on the ground. Goodin averaged over 100 rushing yards per game in Sun Belt play, but posted respectable yardage against Texas (60) and Arizona State (62). The senior’s numbers have increased every season at UL Monroe and there is a possibility of an increase in carries with 219 last season.

Athlon’s Take: The Warhawks have three new starters on the offensive line, so there is some concern about continuity up front. However, Goodin should shine once the Warhawks hit Sun Belt play and another 1,000-yard season is easily attainable.

2009 stats: 213.9 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,126 yds., 13 TDs
Receiving: 18 rec., 138 yds.

3. Alfred Morris, Florida Atlantic (JR) – Bye Weeks – 3, 7
Morris caught the attention of fantasy owners last year with solid efforts against BCS foes in the first two weeks of the season– 95 yards against Nebraska and 79 against South Carolina. Morris closed out the year with four consecutive 100-yard efforts, including 158 yards and two scores in a 28-21 win over rival Florida International.

Athlon’s Take: The big concern with Morris is the offensive line. The Owls are breaking in five new starters – will they be as successful as last season’s group? Morris should be a lock for 100 yards each week in Sun Belt play, but his upside hinges on the rebuilt line.

2009 stats: 196.0 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,392 yds., 11 TDs
Receiving: 7 rec., 114 yds., 2 TDs

4. Bobby Rainey, Western Kentucky (JR)
5. Derek Lawson, Arkansas State (JR)
6. DuJuan Harris, Troy (SR)
7. Phillip Tanner, MTSU (SR)
8. Shawn Southward, Troy (SO)
9. D.D. Kyles, MTSU (JR)
10. Julian Shankle, UL Lafayette (JR)
11. Darriet Perry, Florida International (JR)
12. Jeremiah Harden, Florida International (SO)
13. Robert Walker, UL Lafayette (FR)
14. Draylon Booker, UL Lafayette (SO)
15. James Hamilton, North Texas (JR)
16. Jermaine Robertson, Arkansas State (JR)
17. Xavier Stinson, Florida Atlantic (SO)
18. Jyruss Edwards, UL Monroe (FR)
19. Braxston Miller, Western Kentucky (JR)
20. Kevis Streeter, UL Lafayette (JR)
21. Rodney Lovett, UL Monroe (SR)
22. Willie Floyd, Florida Atlantic (SR)
23. Yobes Walker, UL Lafayette (SO)
24. Benjamin Cunningham, MTSU (SO)
25. Da’Juan Cofield, Arkansas State (JR)

WAC

1. Vai Taua, Nevada (SR) – Bye Week – 8
Taua was a key cog in Nevada’s three-headed attack last season, with each player rushing for over 1,000 yards. Taua finished as the team’s leading rusher for the second consecutive season, despite missing three games, including the Hawaii Bowl against SMU due to academics. Taua totaled nine 100-yard games last season, with his best performance coming against Fresno State with 179 rushing yards and two scores

Athlon’s Take: With Luke Lippincott no longer around, Taua should be able to see a few more opportunities – likely pushing the 230-250 carry mark. As long as Taua stays out of Chris Ault’s doghouse and keeps the academics straight, he should be a lock for 1,300 yards and 10 scores. Taua has a friendly schedule and should be one of the top five fantasy running backs for 2010.

2009 stats: 225.4 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,345 yds., 14 TDs
Receiving: 12 rec., 99 yds., 2 TDs

2. Michael Smith, Utah State (SR) – Bye Weeks – 7, 13
Until Robert Turbin suffered a knee injury in offseason workouts, all signs pointed to Smith serving as Utah State’s No. 2 back this season. Turbin could return this season, but may not be 100 percent until midseason. Smith averaged 6.3 yards per carry on 46 attempts last season and was a major factor in the passing game, catching 19 passes out of the backfield.

Athlon’s Take: If Turbin returns, he figures to be brought along slowly, leaving Smith plenty of opportunities early in the season. If Turbin doesn’t return this year, Smith should be Utah State’s No. 1 back and 1,000 yards is within reach. Keep a close watch on Turbin’s status going into fall workouts, as it will play a major role in where Smith should come off the board.

2009 stats: 96.8 fantasy points
Rushing: 290 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: 19 rec., 220 yds., 2 TDs

3. Robbie Rouse, Fresno State (SO) – Bye Weeks – 2, 5
Fresno State will certainly miss Ryan Mathews, but the Bulldogs appear to have a capable replacement lined up. Rouse tallied 82 carries as a true freshman last season, with 21 coming against Louisiana Tech for 75 yards. At five-foot-seven, Rouse isn’t one of the biggest backs in college football, but is elusive and quick.

Athlon’s Take: Can Rouse handle the pounding of a season with 200 or more carries? That’s the question Fresno State has to find out this year. Michael Harris is a bigger back that should see plenty of carries, but Rouse should lead the team in attempts. With a solid offensive line returning and as long as he avoids any injuries, Rouse figures to rush for 1,000 yards.

2009 stats: 69.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 479 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: none

4. Jeremy Avery, Boise State (SR)
5. Seth Smith, New Mexico State (SR)
6. Princeton McCarty, Idaho (JR)
7. Mike Ball, Nevada (SO)
8. Lyle Fitte, Louisiana Tech (SO)
9. Lennon Creer, Louisiana Tech (JR)
10. Robert Turbin, Utah State (JR)
11. Doug Martin, Boise State (JR)
12. Alex Green, Hawaii (SR)
13. Lamon Muldrow, San Jose State (SR)
14. Deonte Jackson, Idaho (SR)
15. Michael Harris, Fresno State (SO)
16. Derrvin Speight, Utah State (SR)
17. D.J. Harper, Boise State (JR)
18. Kerwynn Williams, Utah State (SO)
19. Kenny Turner, New Mexico State (JR)
20. Brandon Rutley, San Jose State (JR)
21. Tyrone Duplessis, Louisiana Tech (SO)
22. A.J. Ellis, Fresno State (SO)
23. Chizzy Dimude, Hawaii (SR)
24. Lampford Mark, Nevada (JR)
25. David Freeman, San Jose State (SO)
26. D.J. Morrow, Louisiana Tech (SO)
27. Myke Compton, Louisiana Tech (SR)
28. Marquese Dunn, New Mexico State (FR)
29. Courtney Randall, Nevada (SR)

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COMMENTS

The Statistical Peak

What do milk, leftovers and fantasy studs all have in common? There’s a point at which they all go bad. Milk comes with an expiration date, and leftovers start to smell if kept too long, but the warning signs for fantasy studs aren’t quite as obvious. Even so, I can share which fantasy studs will leave a sour taste in your mouth.

COMMENTS

The James Jones Hype

Packers wide receiver James Jones is heading into his fourth NFL season, and recently there have been whispers that he could be taking over the starting gig opposite Greg Jennings. But what about Donald Driver, who has caught 70 or more balls for 1,000 or more yards in each of the last six seasons?

COMMENTS

CFB Fantasy: Big East Fantasy RBs

Big East/Independent Fantasy RBs

Athlon continues its 2010 college fantasy draft kit with a look at Big East/Independent running backs.

Big East Fantasy Running Back Rankings and Profiles

Fantasy points based upon standard scoring system – passing touchdowns = 4 pts, rushing touchdowns = 6 pts, 25 passing yards = 1 point, 10 rush/receiving yards = 1 point, receptions = 0.5 points, 2 point conversions = 2 points

1. Dion Lewis, Pittsburgh (SO) – Bye Weeks – 3, 10
One of Pittsburgh’s biggest question marks entering last season was who would replace LeSean McCoy as the feature back in a run-first offense. Lewis wasn’t a huge recruit coming out of high school, but used a solid spring to win the No. 1 job and emerged as one of the top backs in college football last year. Lewis had at least 18 carries in every game and went over 100 yards in 10 contests.

Athlon’s Take: The Panthers will continue to lean on their ground attack to win games, but three interior line starters must be replaced. Lewis collected 325 carries last season, which is a lot for a running back that checks in at 5-foot-8 and 195 pounds. Ray Graham is a more than capable backup, who could steal a few carries away from Lewis. Although there are concerns and a drop in production can be expected, expect Lewis to rush for 1,400 yards and at least 12-15 scores.

2009 stats: 253.7 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,799 yds., 17 TDs
Receiving: 25 rec., 189 yds., 1 TD

2. Jordan Todman, Connecticut (JR) – Bye Weeks – 7, 10
With Andre Dixon out of eligibility, there are high expectations from fantasy owners for Todman in 2010. The Huskies love to pound the rock and that offensive philosophy won’t change any this season, despite the improvement from quarterback Zach Frazer at the end of last year. Todman went over the 1,000-yard mark, despite finishing behind Dixon in attempts  - 239 to 235 – and posted 14 rushing scores last season. The junior managed five games of 100 yards or more, including 162 yards and four scores against Cincinnati.

Athlon’s Take: Connecticut will get another back involved (likely Kelmetrus Wylie), but Todman will see an increase in touches. Look for Todman to push the 270-300 carry mark with 1,300-1,500 yards and 13-18 scores. If he stays healthy, Todman could finish 2010 among the top five for fantasy running backs.

2009 stats: 225.2 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,188 yds., 14 TDs
Receiving: 21 rec., 185 yds., 0 TD

3. Noel Devine, West Virginia (SR) – Bye Weeks – 5, 10
Devine turned down an opportunity to enter the NFL Draft for another run at the Big East title, and the senior back should be the focal point of the West Virginia offense in 2010. Devine set career highs in carries, rushing yards and rushing touchdowns last season, along with collecting seven 100-yard efforts. With an inexperienced quarterback in Geno Smith taking over, the Mountaineers will base their offensive attack around Devine, which should result in another monster season.

Athlon’s Take: The Mountaineers are in good shape up front with four starters back, which ensures plenty of rushing lanes will be open for Devine. As long as he stays healthy, expect Devine to reach 1,300-1,500 yards and 12-15 scores.

2009 stats: 220.1 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,465 yds., 13 TDs
Receiving: 22 rec., 177 yds., 1 TD

4. Delone Carter, Syracuse (SR) – Bye Week – 5
Syracuse showed progress in the first year of the Doug Marrone era last season, and seems to be on the right path heading into 2010. However, the Orange may be without their best offensive player. Carter was suspended from the school until the fall semester, due to a third-degree assault charge. Although the general feeling is that Carter will return to the team, he makes for a risky pick until his 2010 status is officially known.

Athlon’s Take: If Carter returns to school and regains his status as the No. 1 back, he should rush for 1,000 yards once again. However, until an official announcement is made, fantasy owners in 120 leagues should approach Carter with caution. Owners in Big East leagues that draft Carter should be sure to handcuff him with Antwon Bailey.

2009 stats: 191.3 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,021 yds., 11 TDs
Receiving: 11 rec., 117 yds., 1 TD

5. Victor Anderson, Louisville (JR) – Bye Week – 4
Anderson was a disappointment for fantasy owners last season, dropping his rushing yardage from 1,047 as a freshman in 2008 to 473 last year. In Anderson’s defense, the drop in yardage was due to injuries, which forced him to miss most of the second half of last year. When healthy last season, Anderson averaged 5.3 yards per carry and posted a 100-yard effort against Kentucky.
 
Athlon’s Take: Louisville is short on proven offensive options, so Anderson figures to be the main weapon in 2010. The junior isn’t the biggest back and the Cardinals may want to limit his carries to 15-20 a game, but 175-200 carries for the season is within reach. Don’t expect huge touchdown numbers, but 800-1,000 yards is a reasonable expectation.

2009 stats: 93.3 fantasy points
Rushing: 473 yds., 5 TDs
Receiving: 12 rec., 89 yds.

6. Moise Plancher, South Florida (SR) – Bye Weeks – 3, 9
New coach Skip Holtz is changing South Florida’s offense and one of the main benefactors should be Plancher. The senior posted a career-high 581 yards to lead South Florida running backs last season and collected five rushing scores and one 100-yard outing. The South Florida backfield was stocked heading into spring practice, but Mike Ford was dismissed from the team and Lindsey Lamar was moved to receiver. The Bulls have some interesting options with Demetris Murray and Bradley Battles waiting in the wings, but Plancher is secure as the No. 1 back.

Athlon’s Take: If Plancher gets 200-250 carries, he could be a steal in the mid-to-late rounds of upcoming drafts. However, Holtz and coordinator Todd Fitch may use a backfield by committee approach, which would keep Plancher’s touches in the 150-190 range. Worth a gamble as a RB4 or RB5 this fall.

2009 stats: 90.8 fantasy points
Rushing: 581 yds., 5 TDs
Receiving: 6 rec., 37 yds.

7. Isaiah Pead, Cincinnati (JR) – Bye Weeks – 5, 10
With a struggling defense, Cincinnati was forced to air it and rely on its offense to win games last season. The Bearcats finished eighth nationally in passing offense, which limited the opportunities for Pead. Although Pead only managed 121 carries, he nearly rushed for 1,000 yards and averaged 6.7 yards per carry. Pead’s best performance of last season came against West Virginia, rushing for 175 yards and a score.

Athlon’s Take: New coach Butch Jones will employ a similar offensive attack to former Cincinnati coach Brian Kelly, but wants to get the rushing game more involved. Pead should have more carries this season and should push the 1,000-yard mark, along with 10-12 scores.

2009 stats: 156.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 806 yds., 9 TDs
Receiving: 20 rec., 201 yds., 2 TDs

8. Joe Martinek, Rutgers (JR) – Bye Weeks – 3, 9
Despite leading Rutgers in rushing yards and nearly rushing for 1,000 last season (967), Martinek’s job as the starter isn’t secure. The Scarlet Knights would like to see more production and big-play ability from their running backs, but Martinek is more of a grind-it-out type of back. Martinek collected four 100-yard performances, but only one came against a bowl team last season. In Big East play, the junior averaged only 61 yards a game.

Athlon’s Take: Martinek isn’t a flashy player, but he can certainly get the job done. Expect the Scarlet Knights to get someone else involved, but Martinek should lead the team in rushing attempts and yards this year.

2009 stats: 153.3 fantasy points
Rushing: 967 yds., 9 TDs
Receiving: 12 rec., 140 yds., 0 TD

9. Ray Graham, Pittsburgh (SO)
10. Kelmetrus Wylie, Connecticut (JR)
11. Antwon Bailey, Syracuse (JR)
12. Bilal Powell, Louisville (SR)
13. Casey Turner, Rutgers (FR)
14. Demetris Murray, South Florida (SO)
15. Ryan Clarke, West Virginia (SO)
16. Darius Ashley, Louisville (SO)
17. De’Antwan Williams, Rutgers (SO)
18. D.J. Shoemate, Connecticut (JR)
19. John Goebel, Cincinnati (SR)
20. Shawne Alston, West Virginia (SO)
21. Jawan Jamison, Rutgers (FR)
22. Bradley Battles, South Florida (FR)
23. Kordell Young, Rutgers (SR)
24. Robbie Frey, Connecticut (JR)
25. Darrin Williams, Cincinnati (SO)
26. Chris Burns, Pittsburgh (SO)
27. Richard Kelly, South Florida (SR)
28. Daquan Harqrett, West Virginia (FR)

Independents

1. Armando Allen, Notre Dame (SR) – Bye Week – 10
The Irish weren’t much of a rushing team last season – only 299 attempts from running backs – choosing to lean heavily on Jimmy Clausen’s arm and a deep group of receivers. Past history indicates new coach Brian Kelly will use a similar offensive attack, with the running game taking a backseat to a prolific passing attack. Allen led Notre Dame with 697 yards last season and managed three games of 106 yards or more, with 139 coming against Michigan. 

Athlon’s Take: As long as Notre Dame can throw it, Allen won’t see much of an increase in numbers from last season. Isaiah Pead led Cincinnati with 806 yards and nine scores last season, which seems reasonable for Allen in 2010.

2009 stats: 129.5 fantasy points
Rushing: 697 yds., 3 TDs
Receiving: 28 rec., 216 yds.

2. Vince Murray, Navy (SR) – Bye Week – 4, 13
After Ricky Dobbs, finding a week-to-week fantasy option at Navy was difficult last season. The Midshipmen used a handful of different rushers, which limited the value of Murray, Marcus Curry and Gee Gee Greene. Murray emerged as Navy’s best fullback last year, posting four consecutive 100-yard efforts, before missing a contest against Delaware due to a shoulder injury.

Athlon’s Take: With Marcus Curry dismissed from the team, the Midshipmen will have increased competition for carries at slotback – but that could work in Murray’s favor. There’s no question Murray is the team’s most reliable rusher after Dobbs and that should result in more carries. Dobbs will lead the team in rushing attempts, but Murray could push for 1,000 yards and 10 scores.

2009 stats: 126.4 fantasy points
Rushing: 971 yds., 6 TDs
Receiving: 3 rec., 31 yds.

3. Patrick Mealy, Army (SR) – Bye Weeks – 8, 13
Rich Ellerson’s first season at West Point was considered a success, despite a 5-7 record. The Black Knights came within one win of bowl eligibility and a large part of their improvement was due to the offense. Freshman quarterback Trent Steelman stabilized the offense, and Mealy finished behind him for Army’s rushing lead last season, collecting 673 yards and three scores on 110 carries. Mealy wasn’t flashy, but collected two 100-yard performances, including 136 yards and a score against VMI.

Athlon’s Take: Mealy is a nice option in leagues that include Army as a small group of teams to select players or as a spot starter, but likely won’t bring much to owners in 120 leagues. Expect the senior to see 130-160 carries with 700-830 yards and five scores in 2010. 

2009 stats: 83.9 fantasy points
Rushing: 673 yds., 3 TDs
Receiving: 2 rec., 41 yds.

4. Gee Gee Greene, Navy (SO)
5. Jared Hassin, Army (SO)
6. Robert Hughes, Notre Dame (SR)
7. Cierre Wood, Notre Dame (FR)
8. Jameson Carter, Army (SR)
9. Alexander Teich, Navy (JR)
10. Mike Stukel, Navy (JR)
11. Malcolm Brown, Army (SO)
12. CeDarius Williams, Army (JR)
13. Aaron Santiago, Navy (JR)
14. Jonas Gray, Notre Dame (JR)
15. Lonnie Liggins, Army (SO)

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COMMENTS

CFB Fantasy: ACC Fantasy RBs

ACC Fantasy RBs

Athlon continues its 2010 college fantasy draft kit with a look at the ACC running backs.

ACC Fantasy Running Back Rankings and Profiles

Fantasy points based upon standard scoring system – passing touchdowns = 4 pts, rushing touchdowns = 6 pts, 25 passing yards = 1 point, 10 rush/receiving yards = 1 point, receptions = 0.5 points, 2 point conversions = 2 points

1. Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech (SO) – Bye Week – 9
Despite losing 1,000-yard rusher Darren Evans to a torn ACL before last season, the Hokies were in good shape in the rushing department. Williams was a top recruit coming out of high school and didn’t disappoint with 1,655 yards and 21 scores, along with 16 catches for 180 yards and one touchdown. Williams rushed for 100 yards or more in 10 games, including the final five contests of last season.

Athlon’s Take: The biggest question mark regarding Williams’ status is Evans’ return and sophomore David Wilson. The Hokies have one of the top backfields in the nation and Williams probably won’t equal the 293 carries he had last year. Even with a drop in carries, fantasy owners can expect 1,400 yards and 13-16 scores.

2009 stats: 298.8 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,655 yds., 21 TDs
Receiving: 16 rec., 180 yds., 1 TD

2. Montel Harris, Boston College (JR) – Bye Week – 3
With an inexperienced quarterback under center last season, the Boston College offense relied heavily on the run, giving Harris a whopping 308 carries. Harris held up under the workload, posting eight games of at least 100 rushing yards – including a run of five straight to close out the season. The junior also posted a career-high 264 yards and five touchdowns in a 52-20 romp over NC State.

Athlon’s Take: Boston College should be better at the quarterback spot this year, but will continue to rely on Harris. The Eagles also boast one of the top offensive lines in the nation, with four starters returning. Another season of 300 carries would be a concern from a workload standpoint, but expect Harris to top 1,300 yards and 12-15 scores.

2009 stats: 231.7 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,457 yds., 14 TDs
Receiving: 8 rec., 69 yds., 1 TD

3. Anthony Allen, Georgia Tech (SR) – Bye Week – 9
Jonathan Dwyer is gone, but the Georgia Tech rushing offense won’t miss a beat with Allen taking over the No. 1 role. Allen only toted the rock 64 times last season, but posted an impressive 9.7 yards per carry. Allen’s best yardage performance last year came against Clemson, rushing for 127 and a score on only five attempts. In addition to his big-play ability, the senior has displayed a nose for the endzone, collecting 30 total scores on 336 opportunities. With Dwyer no longer manning the B-Back position, Allen should see a significant increase in carries to 200-250 this season.

Athlon’s Take: Georgia Tech will get Embry Peeples, Roddy Jones and others involved in the rushing attack, but Allen will clearly be the No. 1 option. The only concern could be the workload. The senior has never collected more than 146 carries in a single season. Despite the question mark regarding the workload, expect Allen to rush for over 1,000 yards and 10 scores this year.

2009 stats: 107.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 618 yds., 6 TDs
Receiving: 5 rec., 112 yds., 1 TD

4. Andre Ellington, Clemson (SO) – Bye Week – 4
Clemson will certainly miss C.J. Spiller, but the Tigers have two talented options ready to step up in 2010. Ellington finished second in rushing on the team last season, averaging 7.2 yards per carry on 68 attempts. Ellington’s best outing came against Coastal Carolina, rushing for 88 yards and one score on six attempts. Although Ellington exited spring practice as the likely starter, the Clemson offense will continue to give Jamie Harper plenty of opportunities.

Athlon’s Take: The only thing that is preventing Ellington from being a fantasy stud in 2010 is a possible split in carries with Harper. A 50-50 split would be bad news for fantasy owners, but if Ellington can muster 150-170 carries, 800-1,000 yards with eight scores seems reasonable.

2009 stats: 69.8 fantasy points
Rushing: 491 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: 11 rec., 55 yds.

5. Da’Rel Scott, Maryland (SR) – Bye Week – 6
Injuries prevented Scott from reaching 1,000 yards for the second consecutive year last season and he should be one of 2010’s top rebound players. Scott suffered a forearm injury against Clemson, forcing him to miss five games, before returning for the final two contests. Although his playing time was limited last year (85 carries), Scott averaged five yards a carry and posted one score in each of the first three contests.

Athlon’s Take: Scott should push for a 1,000-yard season in 2010, but there are question marks surrounding the Maryland offense. The Terrapins have a shaky offensive line, and quarterback Jamarr Robinson is still finding his way as the starter. Scott should see 200 carries this season and rushing for 1,000 yards can’t be ruled out.

2009 stats: 83.4 fantasy points
Rushing: 425 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: 12 rec., 111 yds.

6. Chris Thompson, Florida State (SO) – Bye Week – 8
Jermaine Thomas nearly rushed for 1,000 yards last season, but begins fall practice locked into a battle for the starting job. Thompson made a push in spring practice and exited as Florida State’s starter. Thompson flashed potential in limited action last year, averaging 5.2 yards per carry on 23 opportunities, but remains largely unproven. Although Thompson finished as the starter in spring practice, expect Jermaine Thomas to make another run at the starting job in the fall.

Athlon’s Take: Thompson isn’t a huge back (5-8, 173 pounds), but provides speed and the ability to make big plays. The Seminoles have one of the top offensive lines in the nation, so whichever back wins the job should have plenty of open rushing lanes. However, is this a spot where one back will maintain the starting job or one where Thompson, Thomas and others will share time? Take a Seminole back in 120 leagues with caution.

2009 stats: 26.0 fantasy points
Rushing: 120 yds., 2 TDs
Receiving: 2 rec., 10 yds.

7. Damien Berry, Miami (SR) – Bye Week – 3
The Hurricanes are loaded at running back, which makes this situation a difficult one to peg for fantasy owners. Berry averaged 6.6 yards per carry last year and led the team with eight rushing scores. The senior boasts a powerful running style, which was used frequently in the second half of games last year. Although Berry is Miami’s top returning rusher, he will face competition from Lamar Miller, Mike James and Storm Johnson.

Athlon’s Take: If Berry is the workhorse, 200 carries and 1,000 yards isn’t out of the question. However, Miller, James and Johnson are talented backs and will get their opportunities to play this year. Expect Berry to push for 120-150 carries, but his power could come in handy around the goal-line with a push for 10 scores.

2009 stats: 116.0 fantasy points
Rushing: 616 yds., 8 TDs
Receiving: 5 rec., 68 yds.

8. Shaun Draughn, North Carolina (SR) – Bye Week – 2
Draughn suffered a shoulder injury against Duke and was lost for the final four games of the season. Before the injury, Draughn was averaging 63 rushing yards a game and had two 100-yard efforts last season. The senior has never been a factor around the goal-line, with only four career rushing touchdowns on 322 attempts. Although Draughn figures to lead the team in carries, expect Ryan Houston to see plenty of attempts, particularly around the goal-line.

Athlon’s Take: Draughn should be a safe pick to reach 600-800 yards this year, but finding the endzone could be difficult once again. Houston has 17 touchdowns in two years and will be the main threat around the goal-line this season, which limits Draughn’s value.

2009 stats: 87.1 fantasy points
Rushing: 567 yds., 1 TD
Receiving: 21 rec., 125 yds.

9. Jamie Harper, Clemson (JR) – Bye Week – 4
Harper and Andre Ellington were billed as the next thunder and lightning combo when they committed to Clemson and 2010 will be their year to shine. Harper checks in at 230 pounds, while Ellington brings more speed to the table at 180 pounds. Ellington finished second on the team in rushing last season, but Harper was only 73 yards behind. Harper had four outings of at least 75 yards or more, including 86 yards and a score against NC State.

Athlon’s Take: Fantasy owners should closely monitor the Clemson running back situation this fall. The winner of the battle between Ellington and Harper should contend for RB3 status, but a split in carries is also likely. Ellington exited spring practice atop the depth chart, but Harper figures to get 100-120 carries this year.

2009 stats: 59.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 418 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: 11 rec., 49 yds.

10. Jermaine Thomas, Florida State (JR) – Bye Week – 8
Thomas finished 2009 as Florida State’s leading rusher with 832 yards, but begins fall practice behind Chris Thompson. Thomas rushed for 482 yards in 2008 and was expected to challenge for 1,000 yards last season, but began the year with only 16 carries in his first four games. Despite his slow start, Thomas closed out the year with four 100-yard efforts in his last six games, including 121 yards and two scores against West Virginia in the Gator Bowl.

Athlon’s Take: Although Thomas is No. 2 on the depth chart, he should figure heavily into the running plan this year. However, will the Florida State running back situation sort out enough to warrant fantasy consideration in 120 leagues or will this be a committee approach throughout the year?

2009 stats: 139.4 fantasy points
Rushing: 832 yds., 9 TDs
Receiving: 17 rec., 129 yds., 1 TD

11. Ryan Houston, North Carolina (SR)
12. Josh Adams, Wake Forest (SR)
13. Roddy Jones, Georgia Tech (JR)
14. Curtis Underwood, NC State (JR)
15. Lamar Miller, Miami (FR)
16. Darren Evans, Virginia Tech (JR)
17. Torrey Mack, Virginia (SO)
18. Mike James, Miami (SO)
19. Desmond Scott, Duke (SO)
20. Perry Jones, Virginia (SO)
21. Davin Meggett, Maryland (JR)
22. James Washington, NC State (SO)
23. Brandon Pendergrass, Wake Forest (JR)
24. Brandon Barnes, NC State (SO)
25. Josh Snead, Duke (FR)
26. Embry Peeples, Georgia Tech (JR)
27. Rolandan Finch, Boston College (SO)
28. Storm Johnson, Miami (FR)
29. Dominique Wallace, Virginia (FR)
30. Keith Payne, Virginia (SR)
31. Orwin Smith, Georgia Tech (FR)
32. Ty Jones, Florida State (JR)
33. Giovanni Bernard, North Carolina (FR)
34. Marcus Wright, Georgia Tech (JR)
35. Roderick McDowell, Clemson (FR)
36. Jay Hollingsworth, Duke (JR)
37. Lonnie Pryor, Florida State (SO)
38. Josh Harris, Wake Forest (FR)
39. Kevin Parks, Virginia (FR)
40. David Wilson, Virginia Tech (SO)*

* Wilson likely to redshirt in 2010.

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COMMENTS

CFB Fantasy: ACC Fantasy RBs

ACC Fantasy RBs

Athlon continues its 2010 college fantasy draft kit with a look at the ACC running backs.

ACC Fantasy Running Back Rankings and Profiles

Fantasy points based upon standard scoring system – passing touchdowns = 4 pts, rushing touchdowns = 6 pts, 25 passing yards = 1 point, 10 rush/receiving yards = 1 point, receptions = 0.5 points, 2 point conversions = 2 points

1. Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech (SO) – Bye Week – 9
Despite losing 1,000-yard rusher Darren Evans to a torn ACL before last season, the Hokies were in good shape in the rushing department. Williams was a top recruit coming out of high school and didn’t disappoint with 1,655 yards and 21 scores, along with 16 catches for 180 yards and one touchdown. Williams rushed for 100 yards or more in 10 games, including the final five contests of last season.

Athlon’s Take: The biggest question mark regarding Williams’ status is Evans’ return and sophomore David Wilson. The Hokies have one of the top backfields in the nation and Williams probably won’t equal the 293 carries he had last year. Even with a drop in carries, fantasy owners can expect 1,400 yards and 13-16 scores.

2009 stats: 298.8 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,655 yds., 21 TDs
Receiving: 16 rec., 180 yds., 1 TD

2. Montel Harris, Boston College (JR) – Bye Week – 3
With an inexperienced quarterback under center last season, the Boston College offense relied heavily on the run, giving Harris a whopping 308 carries. Harris held up under the workload, posting eight games of at least 100 rushing yards – including a run of five straight to close out the season. The junior also posted a career-high 264 yards and five touchdowns in a 52-20 romp over NC State.

Athlon’s Take: Boston College should be better at the quarterback spot this year, but will continue to rely on Harris. The Eagles also boast one of the top offensive lines in the nation, with four starters returning. Another season of 300 carries would be a concern from a workload standpoint, but expect Harris to top 1,300 yards and 12-15 scores.

2009 stats: 231.7 fantasy points
Rushing: 1,457 yds., 14 TDs
Receiving: 8 rec., 69 yds., 1 TD

3. Anthony Allen, Georgia Tech (SR) – Bye Week – 9
Jonathan Dwyer is gone, but the Georgia Tech rushing offense won’t miss a beat with Allen taking over the No. 1 role. Allen only toted the rock 64 times last season, but posted an impressive 9.7 yards per carry. Allen’s best yardage performance last year came against Clemson, rushing for 127 and a score on only five attempts. In addition to his big-play ability, the senior has displayed a nose for the endzone, collecting 30 total scores on 336 opportunities. With Dwyer no longer manning the B-Back position, Allen should see a significant increase in carries to 200-250 this season.

Athlon’s Take: Georgia Tech will get Embry Peeples, Roddy Jones and others involved in the rushing attack, but Allen will clearly be the No. 1 option. The only concern could be the workload. The senior has never collected more than 146 carries in a single season. Despite the question mark regarding the workload, expect Allen to rush for over 1,000 yards and 10 scores this year.

2009 stats: 107.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 618 yds., 6 TDs
Receiving: 5 rec., 112 yds., 1 TD

4. Andre Ellington, Clemson (SO) – Bye Week – 4
Clemson will certainly miss C.J. Spiller, but the Tigers have two talented options ready to step up in 2010. Ellington finished second in rushing on the team last season, averaging 7.2 yards per carry on 68 attempts. Ellington’s best outing came against Coastal Carolina, rushing for 88 yards and one score on six attempts. Although Ellington exited spring practice as the likely starter, the Clemson offense will continue to give Jamie Harper plenty of opportunities.

Athlon’s Take: The only thing that is preventing Ellington from being a fantasy stud in 2010 is a possible split in carries with Harper. A 50-50 split would be bad news for fantasy owners, but if Ellington can muster 150-170 carries, 800-1,000 yards with eight scores seems reasonable.

2009 stats: 69.8 fantasy points
Rushing: 491 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: 11 rec., 55 yds.

5. Da’Rel Scott, Maryland (SR) – Bye Week – 6
Injuries prevented Scott from reaching 1,000 yards for the second consecutive year last season and he should be one of 2010’s top rebound players. Scott suffered a forearm injury against Clemson, forcing him to miss five games, before returning for the final two contests. Although his playing time was limited last year (85 carries), Scott averaged five yards a carry and posted one score in each of the first three contests.

Athlon’s Take: Scott should push for a 1,000-yard season in 2010, but there are question marks surrounding the Maryland offense. The Terrapins have a shaky offensive line, and quarterback Jamarr Robinson is still finding his way as the starter. Scott should see 200 carries this season and rushing for 1,000 yards can’t be ruled out.

2009 stats: 83.4 fantasy points
Rushing: 425 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: 12 rec., 111 yds.

6. Chris Thompson, Florida State (SO) – Bye Week – 8
Jermaine Thomas nearly rushed for 1,000 yards last season, but begins fall practice locked into a battle for the starting job. Thompson made a push in spring practice and exited as Florida State’s starter. Thompson flashed potential in limited action last year, averaging 5.2 yards per carry on 23 opportunities, but remains largely unproven. Although Thompson finished as the starter in spring practice, expect Jermaine Thomas to make another run at the starting job in the fall.

Athlon’s Take: Thompson isn’t a huge back (5-8, 173 pounds), but provides speed and the ability to make big plays. The Seminoles have one of the top offensive lines in the nation, so whichever back wins the job should have plenty of open rushing lanes. However, is this a spot where one back will maintain the starting job or one where Thompson, Thomas and others will share time? Take a Seminole back in 120 leagues with caution.

2009 stats: 26.0 fantasy points
Rushing: 120 yds., 2 TDs
Receiving: 2 rec., 10 yds.

7. Damien Berry, Miami (SR) – Bye Week – 3
The Hurricanes are loaded at running back, which makes this situation a difficult one to peg for fantasy owners. Berry averaged 6.6 yards per carry last year and led the team with eight rushing scores. The senior boasts a powerful running style, which was used frequently in the second half of games last year. Although Berry is Miami’s top returning rusher, he will face competition from Lamar Miller, Mike James and Storm Johnson.

Athlon’s Take: If Berry is the workhorse, 200 carries and 1,000 yards isn’t out of the question. However, Miller, James and Johnson are talented backs and will get their opportunities to play this year. Expect Berry to push for 120-150 carries, but his power could come in handy around the goal-line with a push for 10 scores.

2009 stats: 116.0 fantasy points
Rushing: 616 yds., 8 TDs
Receiving: 5 rec., 68 yds.

8. Shaun Draughn, North Carolina (SR) – Bye Week – 2
Draughn suffered a shoulder injury against Duke and was lost for the final four games of the season. Before the injury, Draughn was averaging 63 rushing yards a game and had two 100-yard efforts last season. The senior has never been a factor around the goal-line, with only four career rushing touchdowns on 322 attempts. Although Draughn figures to lead the team in carries, expect Ryan Houston to see plenty of attempts, particularly around the goal-line.

Athlon’s Take: Draughn should be a safe pick to reach 600-800 yards this year, but finding the endzone could be difficult once again. Houston has 17 touchdowns in two years and will be the main threat around the goal-line this season, which limits Draughn’s value.

2009 stats: 87.1 fantasy points
Rushing: 567 yds., 1 TD
Receiving: 21 rec., 125 yds.

9. Jamie Harper, Clemson (JR) – Bye Week – 4
Harper and Andre Ellington were billed as the next thunder and lightning combo when they committed to Clemson and 2010 will be their year to shine. Harper checks in at 230 pounds, while Ellington brings more speed to the table at 180 pounds. Ellington finished second on the team in rushing last season, but Harper was only 73 yards behind. Harper had four outings of at least 75 yards or more, including 86 yards and a score against NC State.

Athlon’s Take: Fantasy owners should closely monitor the Clemson running back situation this fall. The winner of the battle between Ellington and Harper should contend for RB3 status, but a split in carries is also likely. Ellington exited spring practice atop the depth chart, but Harper figures to get 100-120 carries this year.

2009 stats: 59.6 fantasy points
Rushing: 418 yds., 4 TDs
Receiving: 11 rec., 49 yds.

10. Jermaine Thomas, Florida State (JR) – Bye Week – 8
Thomas finished 2009 as Florida State’s leading rusher with 832 yards, but begins fall practice behind Chris Thompson. Thomas rushed for 482 yards in 2008 and was expected to challenge for 1,000 yards last season, but began the year with only 16 carries in his first four games. Despite his slow start, Thomas closed out the year with four 100-yard efforts in his last six games, including 121 yards and two scores against West Virginia in the Gator Bowl.

Athlon’s Take: Although Thomas is No. 2 on the depth chart, he should figure heavily into the running plan this year. However, will the Florida State running back situation sort out enough to warrant fantasy consideration in 120 leagues or will this be a committee approach throughout the year?

2009 stats: 139.4 fantasy points
Rushing: 832 yds., 9 TDs
Receiving: 17 rec., 129 yds., 1 TD

11. Ryan Houston, North Carolina (SR)
12. Josh Adams, Wake Forest (SR)
13. Roddy Jones, Georgia Tech (JR)
14. Curtis Underwood, NC State (JR)
15. Lamar Miller, Miami (FR)
16. Darren Evans, Virginia Tech (JR)
17. Torrey Mack, Virginia (SO)
18. Mike James, Miami (SO)
19. Desmond Scott, Duke (SO)
20. Perry Jones, Virginia (SO)
21. Davin Meggett, Maryland (JR)
22. James Washington, NC State (SO)
23. Brandon Pendergrass, Wake Forest (JR)
24. Brandon Barnes, NC State (SO)
25. Josh Snead, Duke (FR)
26. Embry Peeples, Georgia Tech (JR)
27. Rolandan Finch, Boston College (SO)
28. Storm Johnson, Miami (FR)
29. Dominique Wallace, Virginia (FR)
30. Keith Payne, Virginia (SR)
31. Orwin Smith, Georgia Tech (FR)
32. Ty Jones, Florida State (JR)
33. Giovanni Bernard, North Carolina (FR)
34. Marcus Wright, Georgia Tech (JR)
35. Roderick McDowell, Clemson (FR)
36. Jay Hollingsworth, Duke (JR)
37. Lonnie Pryor, Florida State (SO)
38. Josh Harris, Wake Forest (FR)
39. Kevin Parks, Virginia (FR)
40. David Wilson, Virginia Tech (SO)*

* Wilson likely to redshirt in 2010.

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COMMENTS

CFB Fantasy: QB Sleepers

QB Sleepers

Athlon continues the release of its college fantasy draft kit with a look the top sleepers at quarterback.

 

It’s never easy defining sleepers. Is a sleeper a player who is ranked after No. 25 or is it someone who isn’t ranked? An owner playing college fantasy football for the first time may consider someone like SMU’s Kyle Padron a sleeper. However, a veteran of many college fantasy leagues and probably wouldn’t consider Padron much of a sleeper. Cincinnati’s Zach Collaros ranks just outside of our top-10 for fantasy quarterbacks. Is it fair to call him a sleeper? Probably not, but you get the picture. Defining sleepers isn't easy.

With that in mind, this list takes into account each fantasy owner has a different knowledge set when it comes to college football. Don’t take a sleeper as your first quarterback in 120 leagues, but consider taking these passers as a QB3 or QB4, in hopes they can be a starting option this year.

Quarterback Sleepers for 2010

ACC

Sean Renfree, Duke – Despite Thaddeus Lewis finishing his eligibility, Duke should be fine on offense with Renfree taking over. The sophomore played in six games last year, throwing for 330 yards and four touchdowns. The Blue Devils have a solid cast of receivers and Renfree’s potential in limited work last season makes him an intriguing option to get to 20-25 passing touchdowns.

Jamarr Robinson, Maryland – An injury to Chris Turner opened the door for Robinson to see significant playing time over the final four games of last season. Robinson wasn’t overmatched in his first action with Maryland, rushing for 129 yards at Virginia Tech and totaling 271 yards against Florida State. Robinson needs work as a passer, but he could be a dynamic rusher this season.

Big East

Ryan Nassib, Syracuse – Syracuse coach Doug Marrone tookover the playcalling duties in the final two games of last season, and the Orange went on to post back-to-back 30-point efforts. Nassib threw for 422 yards and three scores in limited work, but is also regarded as an effective runner. Nassib still needs to prove he can be an every week option, but the Orange offense showed promise at the end of last year.

Geno Smith, West Virginia – Smith ranked as Athlon’s No. 14 overall quarterback coming out of high school and threw for 309 yards and one score in five contests last year. Smith has immense talent and is a dual-threat option, but must stay healthy after suffering a broken foot in conditioning drills.

Tino Sunseri, Pittsburgh – Sunseri may not be an every week option this year, but he should have plenty of opportunities to throw in the redzone with defenses lining up to stop Dion Lewis. Sunseri may have been the better quarterback exiting spring drills last season, but veteran Bill Stull got the nod under center. Keep an eye on Sunseri for a spot start in select matchups.

Big Ten

Kirk Cousins, Michigan State – Cousins shared time early last season with Keith Nichol, but eventually emerged as Michigan State’s clear starter and Nichol moved to receiver in spring practice. Cousins finished last year with 2,680 yards and 19 scores and should easily surpass those in 2010. Throwing for 3,000 yards and 25 scores is a reasonable expectation.

Tate Forcier, Michigan – There’s a lot of question marks surrounding Forcier this fall. There’s no guarantee the sophomore will start and even if he does, could he lose time to Denard Robinson and Devin Gardner? If Forcier manages to see a majority of the snaps, reaching the top 40 of fantasy quarterback should be easily attainable.

Robert Marve, Purdue – Marve sat out last season as a result of NCAA transfer rules, after making the move from Miami. In his one season in Coral Gables, Marve started 11 games and threw for 1,293 yards and nine touchdowns. Marve has a solid cast of weapons returning, but must improve his decision making to be an every week starter.

Dan Persa, Northwestern – Whether it’s been Brett Basanez, C.J. Bacher or Mike Kafka, owners have been able to find a solid fantasy option from the Northwestern quarterback position. Persa looks to continue the run and has shown solid ability in limited work. Persa threw for 224 yards and two scores last year, along with earning 167 on the ground. Don’t be surprised if Persa rushes for 500 yards this year and earns 13-16 passing scores.

Big 12

Kale Pick, Kansas – Todd Reesing is gone, but Pick offers some intriguing dual-threat ability. On 14 carries last season, Pick managed 167 yards and no scores. Pick still needs to show he can consistently be a productive passer, but certainly worth the risk as a QB4 or QB5.

Conference USA

Tyler Bass, Memphis – Bass is locked into a tight battle for the starting job, but he carries the most upside – assuming he is the starter. Before a shoulder injury ended his 2009 campaign, Bass threw for 673 yards and six scores, along with 180 yards and one touchdown on the ground. Bass is a dual-threat option, but new coordinator Eric Price wants to run more of a pro-style attack. If Bass and Price can find the right combination, keep an eye on the Memphis offense this year.

Taylor Cook, Rice – The 2010 Rice offense won’t be the 2008 version with Chase Clement, James Casey and Jarett Dillard, but there is some intriguing potential. Cook, a Miami transfer, completed 12 of 18 passes for 111 yards in the spring game and could push 20 passing scores this year.

Dominique Davis/Brad Wornick, East Carolina – The new East Carolina offense should feature plenty of passing yards and scores. Coordinator Lincoln Riley was hired from Texas Tech to implement a spread offense and the new triggerman could be a sneaky pickup at the end of a draft as a QB3 or QB4.

Ryan Griffin, Tulane – Tulane usually churns out productive fantasy running backs, but there could be a changing of the guard in 2010. The Green Wave is looking to transition to a vertical passing attack and Griffin will be the main benefactor. As a freshman last year, Griffin threw for 1,382 yards and nine scores, but should easily surpass those numbers in 2010. Don’t expect value every week, but keep a close watch on for a possible spot start.

David Isabelle, UAB – The Blazers have a large void under center with Joseph Webb expiring his eligibility. Isabelle saw action in a limited role last season, rushing for 288 yards and a score on 32 carries. Isabelle needs work as a passer, but as displayed last year, he could be a threat to rush for 700 yards this season.

MAC

Alex Carder, Western Michigan – The Broncos have a deep collection of receivers, but must replace record-setting signal-caller Tim Hiller. Carder only saw limited work last season, but held onto the starting job in the spring. Carder likely won’t eclipse Hiller’s 3,249 yards and 23 scores from last season, but 2,600 yards and 15-20 scores can be expected.

Jerry Davis, Buffalo – New coach Jeff Quinn has spent a good chunk of his career under offensive mastermind and Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly and plans on implementing a similar offense to the one they ran at Central Michigan and at Cincinnati. If Davis earns the starting job, he may not post Tony Pike or Dan LeFevour type numbers, but over 2,000 yards of total offense and 25 scores is reasonable.

Boo Jackson, Ohio – Remember him? Jackson missed most of last season due to a shoulder injury, but is back to stake his claim for the starting job in a battle with Iowa State transfer Phil Bates. Jackson totaled 2,688 yards and 21 total scores in 2008 and reaching those numbers in 2010 should be easily attainable. 

Matt Schliz, Bowling Green – Don’t expect Tyler Sheehan value (4,051 passing yards and 27 scores last season), but Schliz could post solid numbers in select matchups.

Pac-10

Brock Osweiler/Steven Threet, Arizona State – With a new offense comes hope of improvement. Arizona State ranked 91st nationally in scoring offense last season and new coordinator Noel Mazzone hopes an up-tempo spread attack will help put points on the board. Osweiler and Threet are battling for the starting role, but if the promises about the offense hold true – and the Sun Devils get a little help from the offensive line and receivers – there could be a nice spike in production.

SEC

Cameron Newton, Auburn – Coordinator Gus Malzahn has the perfect triggerman for his Auburn offense. Newton comes to Auburn from Blinn College and previously had a stop at Florida. Newton remains a work in progress as a passer, but his mobility and physical tools provide Malzahn with an intriguing quarterback to develop.

Chris Relf/Tyler Russell, Mississippi State – Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen may split the quarterback duties between Relf and Russell, but if one manages to win the job, they will have value in BCS-only and potentially 120 leagues. Relf is the better runner and if he starts all 12 games, 700 rushing yards is reasonable. Russell, a better passer, has more upside, but is taking the first snaps of his career this season.

Sun Belt

Ryan Aplin/Phillip Butterfield, Arkansas State – The Red Wolves are switching to a multiple offense, giving a boost to the value of Aplin or Butterfield. In order to have any fantasy value, a starter must emerge, but with several favorable conference matchups, the winner is a nice option to monitor throughout the year.

Derek Thompson, North Texas – An arm injury forced Riley Dodge to move to receiver, but North Texas feels like Thompson will emerge as a more than capable quarterback. Thompson’s resume includes only one game of experience, but with a host of weapons around him and favorable conference matchups, he’s worth a look in the late rounds of 120 leagues.

Jeff Van Camp, Florida Atlantic – Rusty Smith was an effective fantasy quarterback in his tenure at FAU, now it’s up to Van Camp to pickup where he left off last season. With Smith injured, Van Camp assumed the starting role and threw for 1,372 yards and 12 scores. The offensive line is a major concern with five new starters, but Van Camp was impressive last year and could approach 20 passing scores.

WAC

Ryan Colburn, Fresno State – With Ryan Mathews gone, Fresno State will be reshaping its offense around Colburn. The senior threw for 2,459 yards and 19 scores last season and could easily see an increase to 25 passing scores and nearly 3,000 yards in 2010.

Steven Ensminger, Louisiana Tech – Wherever Tony Franklin goes, fantasy owners need to pay attention. With Franklin now calling Ruston home, the starter at Louisiana Tech needs to be on all fantasy radars. Ensminger has yet to take a snap of action for the Bulldogs, but left spring practice with the lead over Ross Jenkins. If the Bulldogs settle on one quarterback, throwing for 2,500-3,000 yards and 20-25 scores is easily within reach.

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Mock Draft Pitfalls

Like NFL teams using training camp and the preseason to prepare for their seasons, fantasy owners use mock drafts to help get ready for theirs. In both cases, the adage “Practice makes perfect” is appropriate, if hackneyed. Mock drafts can be quite useful. Fantasy owners can audition novel drafting strategies, study trends and figure out the basics of on-the-clock time management in a simulated environment before they truly are on the clock. And it’s always better to make major mistakes when nothing is on the line except pride.

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CFB Fantasy: Quarterback Keeper Outlook

Quarterback Keeper Outlook

While most fall college fantasy drafts focus on this season, several leagues already have an eye on 2011 and beyond. Which quarterbacks should you target in keeper leagues?

While most fall college fantasy drafts will focus on one season (2010), several leagues already have an eye on 2011 and beyond. Houston quarterback Case Keenum will be the consensus No. 1 pick in redraft leagues this year, but what about a keeper league where the top quarterback option on the board could be SMU’s Kyle Padron or Notre Dame’s Dayne Crist? Although neither are bad options, owners in keeper leagues have to build to win in 2010, but also keep their roster stocked for 2011, 2012 and 2013.

Here’s a look at the top junior keepers going into fall drafts –

Elite Options

John Brantley, Florida – Replacing Tim Tebow won’t be easy, but Brantley has the tools to succeed and could threaten 30 passing scores in each of the next two seasons – assuming he stays in Gainesville and doesn’t enter the NFL Draft.

Zach Collaros, Cincinnati – Even without Brian Kelly calling the plays, Collaros should still be a top-20 fantasy option under new coach Butch Jones.

Austin Davis, Southern Miss – Injury from last season isn’t a concern, but has to hold off a challenge from Martevious Young for the starting job in 2010.

Blaine Gabbert, Missouri – Another big season could lead Gabbert to jump to the NFL, but looks like a top-10 fantasy quarterback for the next two years.

G.J. Kinne, Tulsa – With new coordinator (and friend of offensive guru Gus Malzahn) Chad Morris calling the plays, expect the Tulsa offense to show statistical improvement this year.

Ryan Mallett, Arkansas – Turned down the NFL for another shot at a SEC title, but 2010 is likely Mallett’s last year on campus.

Kellen Moore, Boise State – Moore is a definite lock for 30 scores in 2010 and should be a solid fantasy option, even when the Broncos make the move to the Mountain West in 2011.

Terrelle Pryor, Ohio State – Is he ready to take the next step in his development this year? If so, Pryor could be a top-10 fantasy quarterback this year and in 2011.

Brandon Weeden, Oklahoma State – Although Dana Holgorsen won’t have to throw it as much as he did at Houston, expect an increase in passing yards and touchdowns from the Oklahoma State offense. 

The next group

Kirk Cousins, Michigan State
Dominique Davis, East Carolina
Nick Foles, Arizona
Stephen Garcia, South Carolina
Jamie Hampton, Troy
Jordan Jefferson, LSU
Ryan Lindley, San Diego State
Robert Marve, Purdue
Chris Masson, UL Lafayette
Bryant Moniz, Hawaii
Cameron Newton, Auburn
Dan Persa, Northwestern
Stephen Garcia, South Carolina

Sophomore Options

Other than Stanford’s Andrew Luck, Oregon’s Darron Thomas and Notre Dame’s Dayne Crist, all of the elite sophomore keeper options will be on campus for at least two seasons. Thomas is unlikely to enter the NFL Draft early and Crist will likely stick around for another year of development under Brian Kelly. Luck is the most likely sophomore to enter the NFL Draft early.

Elite

Matt Barkley, USC – USC may be on probation for a couple of seasons, but don’t expect that to slow down Barkley and the Trojan offense. Barkley tossed 15 touchdowns and 2,735 yards last season and with a year of development under his belt, throwing for 3,000 yards and 20-25 scores in 2010 is easily attainable.

Dayne Crist, Notre Dame – Quarterbacks under Brian Kelly have been fantasy gold – Dan LeFevour, Tony Pike and Kent Smith – and Crist is expected to follow in their footsteps with a solid fantasy season. Considering Kelly isn’t expected to leave South Bend anytime soon, Crist is a strong keeper pick for at least the next two years.

B.J. Daniels, South Florida – New coach Skip Holtz probably won’t ask Daniels to run as much this season, but there’s still a lot of upside with this sophomore signal-caller. Look for Daniels to get better as a passer throughout his career and score five to seven rushing touchdowns each year.

Austin Dantin, Toledo – Out of the passers in this group, Dantin is clearly the one with the most question marks. However, the potential of the high-powered Toledo offense makes him one to draft in keeper leagues.

Garrett Gilbert, Texas – Gilbert is still raw in terms of experience, but there is little doubt he is one of the top keeper options in this group. The sophomore played in 10 games last season and completed 30 of 66 passes for 310 yards and two scores. Gilbert may have a few ups and downs this year, but throwing for 30 touchdown passes in each of the next two seasons is very realistic.

Landry Jones, Oklahoma – Going into last season, Oklahoma didn’t expect Jones to play many meaningful snaps. However, a shoulder injury to Sam Bradford opened the door for Jones to see significant playing time and he responded with 3,198 passing yards and 26 scores. With another offseason to prepare as the starter, expect Jones to be even better in 2010 – likely pushing for 3,500 passing yards and 30 scores.

Andrew Luck, Stanford – Luck is already gaining steam to be the first quarterback off the board in the 2011 NFL Draft, but whether or not he’ll leave Stanford after two seasons on the field is uncertain. If Luck sticks around, he’s a top-30 fantasy quarterback for 2011.

Kyle Padron, SMU – June Jones finally has his triggerman for the SMU passing attack. As a true freshman and in only seven games last year, Padron threw for 10 scores and 1,922 yards. With running back Shawnbrey McNeal leaving for the NFL Draft, expect SMU to rely even more on Padron in 2010 and 2011.

Darron Thomas, Oregon – With veteran Nate Costa the likely starting quarterback in 2010, Thomas may not see much time. However, he is more mobile and has more upside than Costa, but has less experience. With a little more seasoning, Thomas could be Oregon’s next fantasy star at quarterback.

The next group

Tyler Bass, Memphis
Shavodrick Beaver, Tulsa
Alex Carder, Western Michigan
Derek Carr, Fresno State
Taylor Cook, Rice
Austyn Carta-Samuels, Wyoming
Tate Forcier, Michigan
Cody Green, Nebraska
David Isabelle, UAB
EJ Manuel, Florida State
Kevin Newsome, Penn State
Denard Robinson, Michigan
Tom Savage, Rutgers
Geno Smith, West Virginia
Tino Sunseri, Pittsburgh
Jerome Tiller, Iowa State
Tyler Wilson, Arkansas
Jordan Wynn, Utah

Wait and see

Ryan Aplin, Arkansas State
Phillip Butterfield, Arkansas State
Jerry Davis, Buffalo
Seth Doege, Texas Tech
Zac Dysert, Miami, Ohio
Alex Gillett, Eastern Michigan
Mike Glennon, NC State
MarQueis Gray, Minnesota
Tyler Hansen, Colorado
Ryan Katz, Oregon State
Spencer Keith, Kent State
Morgan Newton, Kentucky
Brock Osweiler, Arizona State
Kale Pick, Kansas
Curt Phillips, Wisconsin
Kevin Prince, UCLA
Ryan Radcliff, Central Michigan
Sean Renfree, Duke
Matt Schliz, Bowling Green
Nathan Stanley, Ole Miss
Derek Thompson, North Texas
Jeff Tuel, Washington State
Brad Wornick, East Carolina

Redshirt Freshmen

Best chance to start in 2010

Tajh Boyd, Clemson – With Kyle Parker likely heading to play baseball in the Colorado Rockies’ minor league system, Boyd should have a clear path to the starting job.

Kolton Browning, UL Monroe – Browning surprised a lot of people when he ended up No. 1 on the depth chart after the completion of spring practice. Trey Revell is the more experienced player and will have a shot to reclaim his starting spot in the fall.

Aaron Murray, Georgia – Although Logan Gray decided to stick around in Athens, it will be a major surprise if Murray isn’t Georgia’s starter for the season opener.

Bryn Renner, North Carolina – T.J. Yates has been North Carolina’s starter for the last three seasons, but needs to show improvement to hold off the highly-touted Renner in fall practice.

Tyler Russell, Mississippi State – Even if Russell doesn’t start this year, he is expected to share snaps with likely starter Chris Relf. 

Nathan Scheelhaase, Illinois – Jacob Charest’s transfer and moving Eddie McGee to receiver have cleared the way for Scheelhaase to start this season. New coordinator Paul Petrino should be a good hire for Illinois, but will Scheelhaase perform well enough to save Ron Zook’s job this fall?

File away for the future

Drew Allen, Oklahoma
Jon Budmayr, Wisconsin
Raymond Cotton, Ole Miss
A.J. McCarron, Alabama
Josh Nunes, Stanford
Logan Thomas, Virginia Tech

True Freshmen

Top ones to target

Robert Bolden/Paul Jones, Penn State – Kevin Newsome hasn’t asserted himself as Penn State’s No. 1 quarterback, leaving the door for either player to see significant snaps this year.

Tyler Bray, Tennessee – Don’t expect much if he sees playing time this year, but Bray has nice upside for 2011.

Terrence Broadway, Houston – Case Keenum is out of eligibility after this season and Broadway could takeover the controls to one of the nation’s top passing offenses.

Devin Gardner, Michigan – Will Tate Forcier or Denard Robinson emerge as the clear-cut quarterback?

Jeffrey Godfrey, UCF – Rob Calabrese has been inconsistent in his time as the starter at UCF, and Godfrey’s dual-threat ability could be needed to spark the offense this year.

Jake Heaps, BYU – Riley Nelson and Heaps will pickup their quarterback battle in fall practice, but all indications point to this true freshman playing a large role in 2010. Look for Heaps to be one of the top long-term keeper options at quarterback.

Nick Montana, Washington – With Jake Locker finishing his eligibility after this season, Montana should start for Steve Sarkisian in 2011.

Pete Thomas, Colorado State – Likely to start this season, but won’t register much fantasy value as a freshman.

Others to watch

Blake Bell, Oklahoma
Barry Brunetti, West Virginia
A.J. Derby, Iowa
Austin Hinder, California
Brett Nottingham, Stanford
Chase Rettig, Boston College
Jesse Scroggins, USC
Connor Shaw, South Carolina
Phillip Sims, Alabama
Scotty Young, Texas Tech

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