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How Many Games Will Florida State Win in 2013?

Can Jameis Winston lead Florida State to an ACC title?

Despite a revamped coaching staff and a handful of new starters, hopes are high in Tallahassee for the Seminoles to win 10 games in 2013.

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Florida State

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#15 Florida State

Seminoles

NATIONAL FORECAST

#15

ACC Atlantic PREDICTION

#2

HEAD COACH: Jimbo Fisher, 31-10 (3 years) | OFF. COORDINATOR: Jimbo Fisher | DEF. COORDINATOR: Jeremy Pruitt

OFFENSE

After EJ Manuel led FSU to a victory over Northern Illinois in the Orange Bowl, everyone knew the Seminoles would have to search for a new quarterback this season. What we couldn’t have predicted was what a wild ride that would be. For the first time in five years, Florida State conducted a truly open competition at quarterback during spring drills, and the winner appears to be redshirt freshman Jameis Winston. Coach Jimbo Fisher won’t confirm that just yet; he might not officially name his starter until preseason camp in August.

But Winston was so impressive during spring drills that junior Clint Trickett, who entered the spring atop the depth chart, announced he was transferring just four days after the Seminoles’ spring game. Winston, who was rated by many the nation’s No. 1 quarterback coming out of Hueytown (Ala.) High School near Birmingham, still will have to fight off challenges from sophomore Jacob Coker and redshirt freshman Sean Maguire.

FSU returns two junior tailbacks with starting experience. Devonta Freeman finished with 660 yards and eight touchdowns last season, while James Wilder Jr. had 635 yards and 11 scores. And the wide receiver group is deep and talented, led by junior Rashad Greene. Kenny Shaw, Kelvin Benjamin and Greg Dent all caught at least 27 passes last fall.

The Seminoles are solid up front, with four starters returning and the lone new starter being a veteran (junior Bobby Hart) with plenty of experience. FSU is not particularly deep on the line, however, so overcoming injuries would be a problem.

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The Debate

How many games will Florida State win in 2013?

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DEFENSE

When Fisher lured Jeremy Pruitt away from Alabama to be his new defensive coordinator, he did so with the hopes of reshaping his defense in the mold of the Crimson Tide. He wants more turnovers and big plays, and the Seminoles should have the talent to make that happen.

Seniors Christian Jones and Telvin Smith lead a deep and talented linebacker corps, and the Seminoles might have even more talent in the defensive backfield. Senior Lamarcus Joyner is coming off of an All-ACC season at safety but worked primarily at cornerback in spring drills. Senior Terrence Brooks led FSU’s defensive backs in tackles last season, and juniors Tyler Hunter and Karlos Williams emerged as potential stars late in 2012.

The biggest challenges will be replacing four starters on the defensive line, but new tackles Timmy Jernigan and Demonte McAllister each put up better numbers in 2012 than the starters they are replacing.

There very likely will be a drop-off at defensive end, where the Seminoles lost high NFL Draft picks Bjoern Werner and Cornellius Carradine. Sophomore Mario Edwards Jr. and senior Dan Hicks likely will fill those roles.

Key Player
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Lamarcus Joyner, CB - Can cover in space, is a big hitter despite a small frame, and will be used in blitz packages.

Rashad Greene, WR - Isn’t a big body, but has great toughness and breakaway speed. Led the Noles in receptions (57) and yards (741).

Timmy Jernigan, DT - Uses his strength and quickness to be a major disruptive force on the interior of the Seminoles’ defensive front.

2013 Schedule

SPECIALISTS

Fisher believes redshirt freshman placekicker Roberto Aguayo could be even better than departing All-American Dustin Hopkins. Punter Cason Beatty returns from a solid freshman campaign, but the Seminoles will need to make improvements in the return game, where they struggled with fumbles last fall.

FINAL ANALYSIS

This hasn’t been the easiest offseason for Fisher. Not only is he replacing a slew of starters on both sides of the ball, but he also lost six of nine assistant coaches to other schools.

Despite that turnover, the Seminoles again will be among the most talented teams in the country. If Winston can handle the starting quarterback job as a redshirt freshman and FSU avoids injuries on the offensive line, the Seminoles will have a chance to win at least 10 games for the third time in Fisher’s first four seasons.

 

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10 Greatest Florida State Seminoles (since 1967)

Who are the top Noles football players of the Athlon era?

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5 Greatest Moments in Florida State Seminoles Football History

5 Greatest Moments in Florida State Seminoles Football History

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Florida State Seminoles Cheerleaders

Some of our favorite cheerleaders from the past twenty years. 

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Texas A&M or LSU: Which Team Finishes Higher in the SEC West in 2013?

Will Texas A&M finish ahead of LSU in the SEC West standings this year?

With Alabama expected to be the No. 1 team in most preseason polls in 2013, combined with potential top-10 teams in LSU and Texas A&M, the SEC West should be one of the deepest divisions in college football. That also doesn’t include an improving Ole Miss squad, and Arkansas and Auburn – two teams that should also get better under the direction of new head coaches.

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College Football's Top 25 Greatest Dynasties of the AP Era

Athlon Sports ranks the best dynasties in college football since the AP Poll debuted.

Dynasty is a word that gets tossed around all too liberally by fans and media members alike. However, there are periods of time in sports where the term is not only applicable but completely accurate. The NFL had the Packers of the '60s, the Steelers of the '70s, the 49ers of the '80s, the Cowboys of the '90s and the Patriots of the '00s. The NBA has the Celtics, Lakers, Bulls and soon-to-be Heat dynasties.

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Oklahoma State

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CFB Magazine!

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You can read the entire preview in Athlon Sports' 2013 Big 12 magazine, available for purchase now at the Athlon Sports store.


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#16 Oklahoma State

Cowboys

NATIONAL FORECAST

#16

Big 12 PREDICTION

#1

HEAD COACH: Mike Gundy, 67-35 (8 years) | OFF. COORDINATOR: Mike Yurcich | DEF. COORDINATOR: Glenn Spencer

OFFENSE

Despite the transfer of sophomore Wes Lunt, Oklahoma State's quarterback situation is still surrounded in mystery heading into the fall. 

For the Cowboys, their quarterbacking duo — senior Clint Chelf and sophomore J.W. Walsh — conjures nothing but positive thoughts. Both started and won Big 12 games a year ago. And neither lost the job due to poor performance, but rather injuries that sidelined Lunt and Walsh, clearing the way for the former third-teamer Chelf to seize the spot. Once handed the controls to OSU’s high-octane offense, Chelf thrived, starting the final five games and earning MVP honors at the Heart of Dallas Bowl after directing a rout of Purdue. Chelf also earned the trust of teammates and head coach Mike Gundy, putting him atop the depth chart entering the season. And after opening last season as an afterthought, he enters this season with complete confidence.

“Knowing I’ve played and have some experience under my belt, that just makes you more comfortable as a player and more confident in your ability,” Chelf says. “I definitely feel a lot better.”

There’s still competition, and knowledge of what all three have accomplished. Whoever stands behind center will operate with many major weapons and a stout offensive line. Receivers Josh Stewart and Tracy Moore are both All-Big 12 types. And other pass-catching options are plentiful in OSU’s spread attack, which is bent on playing even faster under new offensive coordinator Mike Yurcich.

Two-time All-Big 12 back Joseph Randle must be replaced, but Jeremy Smith vows he’s ready for the spotlight, and he’s been good enough in reserve to score 25 career touchdowns.

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The Debate

Is Clint Chelf the Big 12's No. 1 quarterback for 2013?

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DEFENSE

After seasons of being perceived as the weak link of the team, the defense has adopted an attack mentality. New coordinator Glenn Spencer, who replaced the fired Bill Young, is charged with orchestrating a change that is wildly popular among players.

“Now we get to play a lot more aggressive,” says cornerback Justin Gilbert. “And that’s going to be a lot better for us.”

There’s talent in place, from the league’s best tackle tandem in Calvin Barnett and James Castleman, to veteran and productive linebackers Shaun Lewis and Caleb Lavey, to safety Daytawion Lowe. Gilbert needs to play more like he did in a standout 2011 season than his scuffling effort of last season, but the potential is there.

And a cast of young players moving into more prominent roles has stirred optimism among the defensive staff.

Key Player
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Josh Stewart, WR – Emerged as a clutch go-to receiver, posting the third-best season ever by an OSU sophomore with 101 catches for 1,210 yards.

Justin Gilbert, CB – Coming off a disappointing year, but he’s more than capable of locking down one side of the field.

Calvin Barnett, DT – A disruptive force in the middle who earned All-Big 12 honors last season; his eight tackles for a loss led the Cowboys.

Daytawion Lowe, FS – The enforcer of the secondary, Lowe is a playmaker against the run or pass.

Tracy Moore, WR – Back from a foot injury, the physical Moore is a matchup nightmare on the edge. He had four TDs against Arizona.

2013 Schedule

SPECIALISTS

Gilbert is a dynamic kickoff return man, already owning the school record with five touchdown returns. Stewart offers similar potential on punt returns. But the kicking and punting chores — a program staple — are in flux. And the Cowboys may have to rely on true freshman Ben Grogan to replace three-year standout Quinn Sharp in both roles.

FINAL ANALYSIS

The bar is set high for the Cowboys — Big 12 championship high, with 12 returning starters and even more promising players on the rise. The schedule opens with a challenge: a date with improving SEC squad Mississippi State, in Houston. The Cowboys get TCU and Oklahoma, arguably their two major challengers in the Big 12, at home.

Gundy must be careful to keep the quarterback situation under control, as Chelf and Walsh tasted life as the starter and certainly hunger for more. So far, it hasn’t been an issue. Otherwise, it should be business as usual on offense, which during the Gundy era has been big business. If the defense makes a smooth transition to an attacking approach, the Cowboys will be hard to beat in the Big 12.

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Is Oklahoma State's Clint Chelf the Big 12's Best Quarterback for 2013?

Is Clint Chelf the No. 1 quarterback in the Big 12?

The Big 12 should have one of the most wide-open battles at quarterback for first-team all-conference honors in 2013.

TCU’s Casey Pachall is back after a suspension, but he isn’t guaranteed the starting job. Oklahoma’s Blake Bell has a lot of talent and should thrive in his first year as the No. 1 quarterback. However, he has yet to prove he can consistently beat defenses with his arm.

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