College Football Thoughts

COMMENTS

daily_quote-11-8-10

Penn State coach Joe Paterno after his milestone 400th win.

COMMENTS

Week 10 in Review

Athlon sums up a full slate of college football with the five most important things to take away from this weekend.

1. No national title repeat for Alabama – Repeating as national champions is proving to be awfully difficult. Despite losing to South Carolina earlier this year, Alabama retained hopes of returning to the title game, but Saturday’s loss to LSU closed the book on that possibility. The Tigers surprisingly outgained Alabama 433 to 325 and took advantage of two Crimson Tide turnovers. LSU also converted two fourth-down attempts, including a 23-yard rush by tight end DeAngelo Peterson to lead the Tigers to the game-winning touchdown. After giving up 440 rushing yards to Auburn, LSU put the clamps on Alabama’s rushing attack, holding Mark Ingram to 97 yards and a score. The defending Heisman Trophy winner has surprisingly been held under 100 yards in each of the last five games. Although the LSU defense turned in a solid effort, the offense deserves a lot of credit for Saturday’s win. The passing game has been a question mark all year, but showed signs of life with Jordan Jefferson completing 10 of 13 passes for 141 yards and one touchdown.

With the national title out of the question and the SEC West looking like Auburn’s to lose, the Crimson Tide have the opportunity to play spoiler in the final weeks of the season. However, if Alabama knocks off Auburn in the Iron Bowl, it’s unlikely a SEC team will play for the national championship. Although winning 10 games and going to a New Year’s Day bowl isn't terrible, Alabama has to be disappointed with 2010, but expect Nick Saban to have this team back into the national championship picture next year.

2. TCU destroys Utah – Going into Saturday’s game, TCU-Utah was hyped as a matchup with BCS bowl, national championship and Mountain West title implications. By halftime, it was a one-sided affair, with TCU making one of the biggest statements of the college football season. The Horned Frogs destroyed Utah 47-7 to move to 10-0 and into position for a possible berth in the national championship game. Quarterback Andy Dalton was nearly flawless, completing 21 of 26 passes for 355 yards and three scores. The TCU defense didn’t allow Utah to score until the fourth quarter and held Jordan Wynn to 148 passing yards. The seven points scored by Utah was its lowest since getting shutout by UNLV in 2007. The Horned Frogs need a loss by Auburn or Oregon to get to the national championship, but barring an upset in its final two games, is at least in position to return for a BCS bowl.

3. Clarity in the Big 12? – After 10 weeks of action, the Big 12 South standings might be the most surprising. Not many (is it possible none?) preseason picks expected to see Texas sitting in the cellar of the South at 4-5 or Oklahoma State atop the division at 8-1. With Oklahoma State’s 55-28 win over Baylor, the Cowboys now hold the edge in the race to win the South title. The Cowboys still have to play at Texas and host Oklahoma, but winning both games is very possible. Although the Bears were handled by Oklahoma State, they remain a player in this division with games against Texas A&M and Oklahoma. Texas A&M’s win over Oklahoma likely assures the Aggies of a bowl game and certainly cools the seat of head coach Mike Sherman. Similar to Alabama, Oklahoma had slim hopes of making a run at the national title, but those are over after Saturday's loss in College Station.

While things are unsettled in the South, the North is beginning to take shape. Iowa State nearly pulled out another shocker over Nebraska, but the Cyclones’ gutsy call to go for two in overtime was intercepted. With the win over Iowa State, Nebraska is in great shape to play for the Big 12 title. The Cornhuskers have home games remaining against Kansas and Colorado, along with a road date against Texas A&M. Nebraska would have to lose two games out of those three for Missouri to play for the Big 12 title, and with games against Kansas and Colorado remaining, the Cornhuskers should feel pretty safe about a return trip to the Big 12 title game.

4. Wild weekend in the ACC – Is it really any surprise the division champions for the ACC will likely be decided in the last weekend of regular season action? This conference has been one of the most difficult to figure out from week-to-week over the last couple of seasons and after the last two weeks of action, nothing would be a surprise. After NC State’s 14-13 loss over Clemson, Florida State was in prime position to take control of the ACC Atlantic. However, the Seminoles couldn’t hold off North Carolina and now find themselves back in a three-way tie with NC State and Maryland for the top spot. However, don’t count out Clemson from the Atlantic race. The Tigers need some help, but have wins over Maryland and NC State and get a shot against Florida State this Saturday. Needless to say, the Atlantic title is far from over.

While there is chaos and a cloudy picture in the Atlantic, the Coastal division is Virginia Tech’s to lose. Thanks to a 28-21 win over Georgia Tech, the Hokies hold a two-game lead over Miami and North Carolina and need two wins in their final three games to return to the ACC Championship. Frank Beamer’s club won’t have an easy task over the next three weeks, hosting Virginia and going on the road to face North Carolina and Miami. Although the Hokies have a tough road, it would be a major surprise if they don’t win the Coastal.

5. Stanford knocks off Arizona – Just like TCU-Utah, a marquee matchup proved to be a dud. Stanford-Arizona was expected to be a big game for positioning in the Pac-10, but the Cardinal jumped out to a 21-3 lead by halftime and never looked back. Quarterback Andrew Luck turned in another solid performance, completing 23 of 32 passes for 293 yards and two scores. There’s no Toby Gerhart in the backfield, but the rushing attack is performing well behind Stepfan Taylor and the offensive line did not allow a sack to one of the Pac-10’s top defensive lines. Stanford’s win over Arizona solidified its place as one of the top one-loss teams in the nation and in contention for a spot in a BCS bowl. The Cardinal suffered their only defeat to No. 1 Oregon and the remaining schedule is favorable – at Arizona State, at California and Oregon State. If Stanford finishes the year 11-1, it should be a strong candidate for an at-large selection into the BCS.  

Other thoughts from Week 10

Louisville's Charlie Strong has to be in the coach of the year discussion. Without quarterback Adam Froman and running back Bilal Powell, Louisville somehow pulled out a 28-20 win at Syracuse to move to 5-4 and one win away from bowl eligibility. The Cardinals host South Florida this Saturday, which could be their best remaining opportunity to get bowl eligible.

Week 10 was a good one for offenses. Navy scored 76 points in its victory over East Carolina, while Nevada, Boise State and Oklahoma State posted the three highest total yardage outputs for 2010. Nevada collected 844 yards, Boise State 737 and Oklahoma State 725.

Last week was a positive one for Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez. Not only did the Wolverines get bowl eligible with a 67-65 triple-overtime win over Illinois, but escaped anymore sanctions from the NCAA in regards to promoting an atmosphere of compliance. How crazy was the scoring from Saturday’s win over Illinois?  When these two teams played last year in late February on the hardwood, Michigan lost to Illinois 51-44.

With an improved defense and one of the nation’s top offenses, I thought Hawaii had a chance to hang around in Saturday’s game against Boise State. However, behind 507 passing yards from quarterback Kellen Moore, the Broncos thoroughly dominated the Warriors. The Broncos need a lot of help to pass TCU in the BCS standings, but have good opportunities to state their case with upcoming games against Fresno State and Nevada.

New Mexico upset Wyoming 34-31 to earn its first victory of 2010, but this should do nothing to help Mike Locksley’s job status. The Lobos will likely finish with one win this year, which would give the program back-to-back seasons of a single victory.

With New Mexico earning its first victory of 2010, Akron is the only team without a win. The Zips nearly knocked off Ball State, but fell short in double overtime. The best chance for Akron to get a win is the season finale against Buffalo.

Although Oregon State still has a chance to go to a bowl game, a 4-4 record through 10 weeks is a disappointment. The Beavers had challenging non-conference games against Boise State and TCU, but have narrow losses to Washington and UCLA. Mike Riley’s team was expected to contend for a finish in the top half of the Pac-10, but with USC, Stanford and Oregon remaining on the schedule, it may be difficult for the Beavers to finish any better than 6-6.

Texas is in serious danger of missing a bowl game for the first time since 1997. The Longhorns are 4-5 with games remaining against Oklahoma State, FAU and Texas A&M. Although the Longhorns should beat FAU, there’s no guarantee they can win either of their remaining conference games. The offense was a disaster against Kansas State, with Garrett Gilbert throwing five interceptions and once again, the rushing attack was non-existent. The Wildcats only completed two passes for nine yards, but gashed the Texas defense for 261 rushing yards. This will certainly be an interesting offseason in Austin and one that could see some coaching changes on both sides of the ball.

How much longer will Dan Hawkins hold the title of head coach at Colorado? The Buffaloes completely collapsed against Kansas on Saturday, allowing the Jayhawks to rally from a 45-17 deficit to win 52-45. Hawkins may survive until the end of the year, but if there was any doubt a change was coming, Saturday’s performance answered that question.

Ohio’s hopes of winning the MAC East are in the balance with an injury to quarterback Boo Jackson. The senior quarterback was injured in an off campus fight and his status for next week’s showdown against Temple is in doubt.

Looking ahead to Week 11

A small sample of what’s ahead


Pittsburgh vs. Connecticut (Thursday)
Panthers can increase commanding lead in the Big East with a win against the Huskies in Storrs.

Boise State vs. Idaho (Friday)
Friday night game is another national showcase for Broncos.

Clemson vs. Florida State
ACC Atlantic is still up for grabs – the winner would certainly help their cause to win the division title.

South Florida vs. Louisville
With a win against South Florida, the Cardinals will be bowl eligible.

Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina
Can the Tar Heels pull off another upset?

Cincinnati vs. West Virginia
Both teams will be desperate for a win to erase disappointing season so far.

South Carolina vs. Florida
Everything is on the line for the SEC East title – can South Carolina finally break through?

Miami, Fla. vs. Georgia Tech
With Jacory Harris and Joshua Nesbitt out, it’s up to the backup quarterbacks – Stephen Morris and Tevin Washington.

Penn State vs. Ohio State
Buckeyes still in the mix for Big Ten title, but every game is a must-win situation.

Georgia vs. Auburn
With a win over the Bulldogs, Auburn will clinch a spot in the SEC Championship.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas
After horrendous effort against Kansas State, will Texas put a dent in Cowboys’ chances to win Big 12 South?

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma
Sooners aren’t out of Big 12 South race, but this is a must-win game.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama
With SEC West title hopes fading for Alabama, can Mississippi State sneak into Tuscaloosa and pull off the upset?

Texas A&M vs. Baylor
The loser of this game will see its hopes of winning the Big 12 South slip away.
    
Oregon vs. California
With Brock Mansion making his second start at quarterback, it's hard to see Golden Bears giving Oregon much of a battle.

Utah vs. Notre Dame
The Irish need two wins to get bowl eligible – do they have enough to upset the Utes?

USC vs. Arizona
Wildcats looking for back-to-back wins over USC for the first time since 1999 and 2000.

Nevada vs. Fresno State
Entertaining offensive affair on tap with both teams averaging over 30 points a game.

Infirmary Report

Taking a look at some of the key players suffering injuries this weekend.

Alabama RB Trent Richardson (foot) – probable for Week 11
Arkansas CB Ramon Broadway (leg) – status uncertain for Week 11
California WR Keenan Allen (knee) – questionable for Week 11
Georgia Tech QB Joshua Nesbitt (broken arm) – out for remainder of regular season
LSU CB Morris Claiborne (concussion) – status uncertain for Week 11
LSU S Brandon Taylor (leg) – status uncertain for Week 11
Michigan QB Denard Robinson (concussion) – questionable for Week 11
Michigan State WR Mark Dell (ankle) – probable for Week 12
North Carolina RB Johnny White (broken clavicle) – out remainder of season
Ole Miss QB Jeremiah Masoli (concussion) – probable for Week 12
Oregon QB Nate Costa (knee) – status uncertain for Week 11
South Carolina RB Marcus Lattimore (knee) – probable for Week 11
South Carolina CB CC Whitlock (concussion) – questionable for Week 11
Tennessee TE Luke Stocker (concussion) – questionable for Week 11
Texas CB Chykie Brown (broken arm) – out remainder of season
USC RB Marc Tyler (sprained ankle) – questionable for Week 11
Vanderbilt RB Zac Stacy (concussion) – questionable for Week 11
Wake Forest RB Josh Harris (concussion) – questionable for Week 11
Wisconsin RB John Clay (knee) – probable for Week 11

COMMENTS

Bowl Projections

After Week 10, where do teams project for the postseason?

COMMENTS

CFB Fantasy: Waiver Wire Report

COMMENTS

COMMENTS

College Football Stats: A Closer Look

COMMENTS

CFB Fantasy: Week 10 Start or Sit

Stanzi has been excellent of late. And look to the SEC for QB help this week.

Each week, Athlon will take a deeper look at the fantasy matchups that affect your lineup. Some players will deserve a second look from managers, while others could create some concern. Check out Athlon's College Fantasy Start or Sit for Week 10:

Follow us on Twitter: @AthlonBraden, @AthlonSteven

QB — Deserves A Second Look

Ricky Stanzi, Iowa (@ Indiana)

The Hawkeye quarterback is very quietly having an excellent season. He has curtailed the turnovers and has thrown at least one TD in 15 straight games. Recently, though, he has taken it to a new level. He has thrown three touchdowns passes in five of his last six contests. With the talent at receiver to work with, Stanzi is an excellent play this weekend.

Aaron Murray, Georgia (Idaho State)

In only his first season in college football, Murray has thrown for at least 220 yards in six of nine starts (and six of his last seven). And prior to last weekend, he had only three INTs (the Gators will do it to most QBs). Against lowly Idaho State, Murray should have a decent shot at 250-2. The emergence (finally) of Orson Charles, his high school teammate, should help for the rest of the season.

Mike Hartline, Kentucky (Charleston Southern)

Much like Stanzi, Hartline has transformed himself from game manager to legitimate fantasy option. He has topped the 300-yard mark in three of his last five games and has 10 TD tosses in his last three. Charleston Southern should offer plenty of fantasy opportunities.

Tyler Bray, Tennessee (@ Memphis)

Are we beginning to see a theme in the SEC? Bray, in his first career start, actually has a chance to succeed in the fantasy world. He rallied the Vols on the road against South Carolina (albeit coming up short) and finished with 159 yards and 2 TDs in roughly one half of action. Against a Memphis team that has allowed no fewer than 41 points four weeks in a row, Bray should be able to excel — especially with the emergence of Denarius Moore, Luke Stocker and Da'Rick Rogers.

Nathan Scheelhaase, Illinois (@ Michigan)

The Illini quarterback is changing from a fun freshman to watch into a relevant fantasy starting option. Over his last two games, Scheelhaase has six TDs and 163 yards rushing. The Wolverines defense just allowed Matt McGloin to throw for 250 yards and Evan Royster to rush 150 yards. Most Illini are solid options this weekend.

Austyn Carta-Samuels, Wyoming (@ New Mexico)

After a monster first weekend, ACS, in his second season, has turned into a fantasy bust. But he showed signs of life last weekend when he threw for 186 yards and 3 TDs while adding 51 yards rushing and another trip to paydirt on the ground. If you know anything about fantasy, it's play those who are playing the Lobos. They rank 118th in total defense, 119th in scoring defense, and Carta-Samuels posted a tidy 232-3 passing line with 54 yards rushing last season against New Mexico.

QB — Better Think Twice

Andy Dalton vs. Jordan Wynn (TCU @ Utah)

These are two of the top six defenses in the nation, and TCU boasts the country's best scoring and total defense. The last time these two hooked up in Salt Lake City, they combined for a total of 23 points. Dalton, as only a sophomore, threw for 251 yards, no scores and two INTs. Brian Johnson was the hero that night, and I do not expect Wynn to be able to replicate that performance.

Taylor Potts, Texas Tech (Missouri)

It finally appears the Red Raider quarterback pendulum has swung away from Potts. He has averaged less than 15 total fantasy points over his last three contests — two of which were losses. Expect Steven Sheffield to get a look at some point, so Potts is not worth starting against the Big 12's No. 1 total defense.

Dan Persa, Northwestern (@ Penn State)

The Nittany Lions are surprisingly stingy against the pass. They are allowing less than 190 yards per game through the air, and Northwestern has not proven that it can run the ball consistently. Yes, Persa is the entire offense and has been incredibly efficient, but expect a line similar to that of last year's match-up. Persa and Mike Kafka, who was knocked out of the game, combined for 243 yards and no scores.

Ben Chappell, Indiana (@ Iowa)

Despite throwing the ball 102 times over the last two weeks, Chappell has managed only two TDs (and less than 600 yards). He has also thrown four INTs over that span, and Iowa made Kirk Cousins look bad last week. Chappell posted a middling 227-2-3 line last season against Iowa. Don't expect him to match even that modest output this season.

Christian Ponder, Florida State (North Carolina)

Ponder really has not been consistent enough to be fantasy starter this season. But he is on this list just in case anyone out there was fooled by his 23.94 TFP performance last weekend or his 395-3 line against the Heels last fall. He has not topped 200 yards passing since Week 4 against Wake Forest, and UNC is giving up a measly 189 yards passing per game.

RB — Deserves A Second Look

Jarred Hassin, Army (Air Force)

Playing an Army running back will always be risky, but Hassin has delivered three weeks in a row in a big way. He has topped 100 yards and scored in all three while getting 18.3 carries per game over that span. To top it off, he has also added some receiving production with six catches for 98 yards as well. Now, there may only be a dozen pass attempts in the game between two option attacks, so that could bode very well for the runners. And Hassin looks to be the go-to guy for Army. The Falcons, by the way, rank 109th against the run this season at over 205 ypg.

J.J. Di Luigi, BYU (UNLV)

Di Luigi has been a solid and relatively consistent play all season. But there hasn't been much upside — his single game high is 23.2 TFP, but he has been below 14.4 TPF only once. He has offered plenty of value as a receiver when he does not get it done on the ground as his 33 receptions and 318 yards indicate. UNLV has allowed no fewer than 43 points in four straight games and ranks 118th against the run and 113th in scoring defense.

Tauren Poole, Tennessee (@ Memphis)

The Vols tailback has been up and down this season — 19 TPF three times and 7 TFP or less three times. But against Memphis, he is almost a lock for a big game. Interestingly, Poole has posted some solid numbers against the best of competition — 109 yards and a TD against LSU, 117 yards and a TD against Bama and 162 yards and a TD against Oregon. If he can do that against those defenses, the 100th-rated (195 ypg) rush defense should be no problem.

Keith Payne, Virginia (@ Duke)

The big fella is starting to prove very useful on the fantasy gridiron. He has scored in four straight, including three multiple touchdown games. His size makes him an ideal goalline back, but he has been getting the carries all over the field as well — 67 attempts over the last four to be exact. While Payne does not put up huge yardage totals, he does reach paydirt, so the 103rd-rated rush defense (196 ypg) of Duke should prove to be a juicy fantasy match-up.

Rodney Stewart, Colorado (@ Kansas)

The Buffs back hasn't always delivered this fall, but he definitely gets the football. He has 69 carries over his last three and against the 112th-rated rush defense (210 ypg), owners can expect a healthy dose of Mr. Stewart. And in conference play, the Jayhawks are allowing an absurd 46.8 points per game.

Robbie Rouse vs. Lennon Creer (Louisiana Tech @ Fresno State)

Rouse has been a disappointment this fall, but he has exploded over the last two games. His lines of 150-2 and 116-2 gave him back-to-back 27 TFP games. Creer is on his own little roll as well. He has games of 24.5, 29.4 and 32.5 TFP over his last three. With Rouse rested after a bye week and Creer at home, both these backs should be in your line-up. Both rush defenses are allowing around 155 yards per game on the ground.

Edwin Baker, Michigan State (Minnesota)

It is hard to trust a running back who has not topped 10 carries in three straight games. But this match-up is different. Expect the Spartans to be steaming after the poor showing last weekend against the Hawkeyes, and they will take out their frustrations on the Gophers. Expect a very heavy dose of Baker, Bell and Caper this weekend.

RB — Better Think Twice

Chris Polk, Washington (@ Oregon)

Without Jake Locker this weekend it might be smart to stay away from all Huskies. Did I mention they are playing the No. 1 team in the nation on the road? How about that Polk had 17 yards rushing last weekend with zero receptions? This is a no-brainer.

Roy Helu, Nebraska (@ Iowa State)

The Nebraska tailback has scored 131.6 TFP this season. He got 50.6 of those last weekend on what essentially was three carries. Iowa State is a solid matchup for Helu, but Rex Burkhead is still in the mix, and I want to see him do it consistently before I auto-plug him into the line-up. Keep in mind he has four games this fall in which he failed to top 60 yards rushing and six games in which he failed to top 12 carries.

Keola Antolin and Stepfan Taylor, (Arizona @ Stanford)

This has quarterback battle written all over it. Arizona has been stingy against the run this fall, ranking sixth nationally at 88 yards allowed per game on the ground. The Cardinal have been easier to run on, but 131 ypg is not all that great either. Also keep in mind that Nic Grigsby and Greg Nwoko are still in the mix — the two have posted 14 combined carries in three straight games.

Mark Ingram and Steven Ridley (Alabama @ LSU)

Ingram has been pretty quiet over the last month. Two fantasy games of less than 9 TFP against South Carolina and Ole Miss are a bit concerning. He bounced back with a pair of scores last weekend agianst Tennessee, but LSU the Vols are not. Ingram did get to 144 yards last season against LSU but was held out of the end zone. Ridley, after a very strong first half, has slowed a bit as well. Games of 8.3 and 3.7 TFP over the last three contests (with a 16.6-pointer against McNeese State mixed in) means that teams have caught up with the Tiger tailback. The gut tells me it will be tough sledding for both with Ingram sitting much closer to my starting line-up than Ridley.

Cyrus Gray, Texas A&M (Oklahoma)

Gray has been hot of late after taking over the starting roll when Christine Michael got hurt. But solid games against Kansas and Texas Tech (as well as Louisiana Tech and FIU) are not enough for me to put Gray in the line-up against Oklahoma — even an OU defense that has struggled. Last fall in a 65-10 rout, the Sooners held A&M to 59 yards rushing on 36 carries. Certainly, I expect a better output this year, but I am still taking a wait-and-see approach to Aggie rusher.

Evan Royster, Penn State (Northwestern)

Much like Helu and Gray, a wait-and-see approach might be best with Royster. The PSU tailback has been under 65 yards rushing in all but two games this fall and has scored only four times. He also has less than 12 carries in all but two games as well. The Wildcats are solid against the run, 35th nationally at only 126 ypg, so until Royster (and the offensive line) proves he can be more consistent, I am staying away from the Nittany Lions' all-time leading rusher.

Matt Asiata, Eddie Wide vs. Ed Wesley, Matthew Tucker (TCU @ Utah)

See Andy Dalton vs. Jordan Wynn above.

WR — Waiver Wire Spot Starts

Mark Dell or B.J. Cunningham, Michigan State (Minnesota)
Combined for 25.4 TFP last week in brutal match-up against Iowa.

Denarius Moore, Tennessee (@ Memphis)
Huge 6-228-1 last week against South Carolina last week, and Memphis is really bad on D.

Keenan Allen, Cal (@ Washington State)
Great matchup. If not for a fumble he would have four straight 11+ point efforts.

Ryan Swope, Texas A&M (Oklahoma)
Posted 16 catches, 175 yards and a TD in last two while OU has secondary issues.

Kris Burd, Virginia (@ Duke)
Caught 7 passes for 104 last week against Miami. Duke is a great matchup.

Jared Karstetter, Washington State (Cal)
Bears are pathetic on the road, and he has 26 rec., 279 yds, 2 TDs over last four.

Top 10 DEF/ST Week 10 Spot Starts

1. Kentucky (Charleston Southern)
2. Florida State (North Carolina)
3. Syraucse (Louisville)
4. Temple (@ Kent State)
5. Ohio (Buffalo)
6. Tennessee (@ Memphis)
7. Boston College (@ Wake Forest)
8. Auburn (Chattanooga)
9. Wisconsin (@ Purdue)
10. Miami, Fla. (Maryland)

COMMENTS

Big Ten Preview: Wk 10

Northwestern (6-2, 2-2) at Penn State (5-3, 2-2), Saturday, 2:30 p.m. CT

Fans around University Park are ready to celebrate Joe Paterno’s 400th victory, but before anyone can pop champagne the Nittany Lions must take care of a Wildcats team that is 4–0 on the road this season. Another note to add: Three of those four wins came by three or fewer points. Northwestern continues to rely heavily on Dan Persa, the Big Ten leader in completion percentage (74.4). The only extensive action Persa saw last season came against Penn State. Persa wasn’t bad (14-of-23 for 115 yards and 42 rushing yards); the Wildcats, as a team, did not fare as well in the 34–13 loss. Penn State has allowed fewer than 200 passing yards per game this season, but the club has faced few passing systems as good as this one. On the opposite sideline, the Nittany Lions hope to continue the momentum they got going on the ground last week. Evan Royster ran for hard-fought yards against Michigan to pick up just his second 100-yard game of the year. Quarterback Matt McGloin also performed well in his debut last week, and assuming he is back in the lineup, the sophomore should be able to exploit a Wildcat secondary allowing 244.8 yards per game.

Iowa (6-2, 3-1) at Indiana (4-4, 0-4), Saturday, 11 a.m. CT

It’s been three years since the Hoosiers last beat the Hawkeyes. That was a much different Indiana team, however, with an offensive weapon (Kellen Lewis) that this year’s club simply does not have on its roster. And what worked for Indiana at the start of this season (passing the football) has not gotten the job done in recent weeks. This week, Ben Chappell and his receivers will really have their work cut out against Iowa’s street-smart secondary. The Hawkeyes’ veteran unit ranks fifth in the Big Ten in passing yards allowed per contest but has given up the second-fewest passing scores (eight). And Iowa’s offense is operating as well as it has in years. Ricky Stanzi has the Big Ten’s best touchdown-to-interception ratio (19 to 2), and the running game is still clicking despite its lack of depth. All of this is bad news for an Indiana club allowing 384.1 yards and almost 30 points per contest. Very bad news.

Minnesota (1-8, 0-5) at Michigan State (8-1, 4-1), Saturday, 11 a.m. CT

This contest is the perfect medicine for Michigan State a week after it failed to show in Iowa City. The Gophers present little challenge, and their awful run defense (11th in the Big Ten) should help the Spartans rediscover a ground game that went missing near the middle of October. Michigan State has averaged 76.3 rushing yards over the last three games; without a balanced offense, this club has no shot at a BCS berth. For Minnesota, this game is one more act of torture before this long and grueling season comes to an end. The team has now lost eight straight, and the remaining three contests do not look promising. As of late, the road has not been kind to Gopher fans (18-point loss to Wisconsin, 11-point loss to Purdue), so keeping this game competitive is step number one. To do so, Minnesota must somehow mask a secondary that has allowed a Big Ten-worst 17 touchdowns so far. Another thing that could hurt Minnesota in this contest is punting; the Gophers average a pathetic 34.6 yards per punt, while Michigan State leads the conference in punt returns.

Illinois (5-3, 3-2) at Michigan (5-3, 1-3), Saturday, 11 a.m. CT

This is another dangerous game for a Rich Rodriguez club already reeling from three straight losses. The Illini are fresh off back-to-back 40-point efforts and possess one of the Big Ten’s best run defenses. In its visit to Beaver Stadium a few weeks ago, Illinois held a 16-minute advantage in time of possession and limited Penn State to 65 yards on the ground. That’s Big Ten football. Now they must duplicate that feat against a club that cannot escape the fact that it is one-dimensional. Outside of Kevin Korger’s 60-yard touchdown reception last week, no Michigan player besides Denard Robinson had more than 36 yards of offense. But even with Robinson accounting for nearly 400 yards of total offense last week, the Wolverines were unable to keep pace. Illinois has a few offensive woes of its own to sort out. Mikel Leshoure has failed to reach the 90-yard mark in four of the last five games, and last week gained just 1.5 yards per carry against a so-so Boilermaker unit. Leshoure must match his totals from last year’s game against Michigan (21 carries for 150 yards) for the Illini to pick up a third straight win in this series.

Wisconsin (7-1, 3-1) at Purdue (4-4, 2-2), Saturday, 11 a.m. CT

Bret Bielema preaches about his team carrying a 1–0 philosophy into each and every week; now that mentality will be put to the test. The Badgers are ranked higher than any other Big Ten school at present, and face tremendous pressure in the month of November. They’ll be expected to win every game, and if Bielema’s teams have struggled with anything during his tenure it’s been handling the role of favorite. Purdue is not as bad as it appears on paper and is still alive in the bowl hunt (the Boilermakers need to win two of four). Wisconsin must come out of the gate as it did against Ohio State and Iowa and pound the football until Purdue relents. If Wisconsin holds back, it will become vulnerable to the upset. The Boilermakers must find a way to penetrate Wisconsin’s over-achieving, fourth-ranked defense. Both facets of the offense have failed to put a consistent product on the field as of late (52 rushing yards last week, 88 passing yards the week prior), and nothing short of a perfect performance will be needed against the No. 7 ranked Badgers.

Northwestern (6-2, 2-2) at Penn State (5-3, 2-2), Saturday, 2:30 p.m. CT

Fans around University Park are ready to celebrate Joe Paterno’s 400th victory, but before anyone can pop champagne the Nittany Lions must take care of a Wildcats team that is 4–0 on the road this season. Another note to add: Three of those four wins came by three or fewer points. Northwestern continues to rely heavily on Dan Persa, the Big Ten leader in completion percentage (74.4). The only extensive action Persa saw last season came against Penn State. Persa wasn’t bad (14-of-23 for 115 yards and 42 rushing yards); the Wildcats, as a team, did not fare as well in the 34–13 loss. Penn State has allowed fewer than 200 passing yards per game this season, but the club has faced few passing systems as good as this one. On the opposite sideline, the Nittany Lions hope to continue the momentum they got going on the ground last week. Evan Royster ran for hard-fought yards against Michigan to pick up just his second 100-yard game of the year. Quarterback Matt McGloin also performed well in his debut last week, and assuming he is back in the lineup, the sophomore should be able to exploit a Wildcat secondary allowing 244.8 yards per game.

COMMENTS

COMMENTS

Syndicate content